Sunday, April 5, 2015

Buffett not alone in failing to grasp Grexit dangers

If Mr Buffett seriously thinks that the euro would be strengthened by a Greek exit, which is what he said, then he needs his head examined.

The Telegraph

By Jeremy Warner7:30PM BST 04 Apr 2015

It is hard to think of a nicer and wiser capitalist than Warren Buffett, but every man has his day, and the time may finally have come for the Sage of Omaha to spend more time with his ukulele.
I say this because last week he demonstrably broke one of his first rules of investment, which is never get involved in things you don’t fully understand.

Saturday, April 4, 2015

Both sides are playing a risky game over Greece. Are we approaching the end?

The Greek negotiations have resembled Zeno’s dichotomy paradox, with the two sides halving the distance between each other but never meeting

 The Telegraph

By Ben Wright8:18PM BST 02 Apr 2015

Is this it? Are we reaching the event horizon beyond which the gravitational pull of Greece’s debts becomes so great that escape is rendered impossible?
Time and money are both dwindling. No one knows precisely when the Athenian coffers will contain nothing but moths and lint.

What To Buy If Greece Exits The Euro Zone

 4/03/2015 @ 7:41μμ
 \By Henry To
 The Forbes

Earlier last month, we discussed why the chance of a long-term solution to keep Greece in the Euro Zone was slim, due to three reasons:

Friday, April 3, 2015

Greece's Syriza Confronts Reality

11 APR 2, 2015 10:15 AM EDT
By Leonid Bershidsky

Reality does depressing things to dreams. It kills them off quickly and mercilessly, and because people have short memories and dreams are short-lived, we often forget what they were like when they began. This is why it's worthwhile to compare Greece's first "full summary" of reforms, released today, to be undertaken so the country can unlock financing from international creditors, with the election program that the ruling Syriza party announced last September.

Exclusive: Greece tells creditors it will run out of cash on April 9


Markets | Thu Apr 2, 2015 12:45pm EDT

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/04/02/us-eurozone-greece-liquidity-idUSKBN0MT1HB20150402

(Reuters) - Greece has told its creditors it will run out of money on April 9, making an appeal for more loans before reforms on which new disbursements hinge are agreed and implemented, but the request was rejected, euro zone officials said.

The appeal was made by Athens at a teleconference of euro zone deputy finance ministers on Wednesday organized to assess how far Greece still was from meeting the conditions for unlocking new financial aid.

Greece draws up drachma plans, prepares to miss IMF payment


'We are a Left-wing government. If we have to choose between a default to the IMF or a default to our own people, it is a no-brainer,' says senior Greek official

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, & Mehreen Khan9:22PM BST 02 Apr 2015
The Telegraph

Greece is drawing up drastic plans to nationalise the country's banking system and introduce a parallel currency to pay bills unless the eurozone takes steps to defuse the simmering crisis and soften its demands.

Thursday, April 2, 2015

Greece comes kicking and screaming to reform table

By Neil Unmack APRIL 2, 2015
Reuters

Greece is coming kicking and screaming to the reform table. The Syriza government’s latest proposals include some concessions to its public creditors. The plan still lacks detail, and reneges on past promises. The risk of an accidental euro zone exit is rising.

Samaras Says He’d Join Alliance to Keep Greece in Euro


by James HertlingNikos Chrysoloras
5:00 AM EEST
April 2, 2015
 Bloomberg
As Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras struggles to secure a financial bailout to stay in the euro, his chief rival said he’s open to offering a political rescue.
Opposition leader Antonis Samaras, who was ousted by Tsipras in January elections, signaled his willingness to join a unity government if the concessions required to win emergency loans drive a wedge through the ruling anti-austerity coalition.

Running out of room


The Economist

Greece looks to China and Russia for help but cannot get around its euro zone partners
Apr 1st 2015

ALEXIS TSIPRAS, the Greek prime minister, and his radical Syriza party are beginning to feel the heat. Two months of bluster by Greece’s first left-wing government have failed to produce the results it wanted. Those include an injection of fresh cash from the country’s current €172 billion ($185 billion) bail-out programme, and a new deal with the European Union and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that would allow Athens, not its creditors, to decide on future economic reforms.

ECB lifts ceiling on Greek emergency loans

Published: Apr 2, 2015 2:58 a.m. ET

By NEKTARIA STAMOULI


ATHENS--The European Central Bank on Wednesday increased the amount of money Greek banks can borrow under an emergency lending program, extending a lifeline for the country's banks as its government continues tense negotiations with its creditors over its bailout program.

Greece sends updated reforms, pledges to pay IMF on time


ATHENS | BY RENEE MALTEZOU AND COSTAS PITAS

(Reuters) - Greece sent an updated list of reforms to lenders on Wednesday to try to unlock financial aid and avoid a default but euro zone officials said more work was needed before new funds could be released.

Greece is weeks away from running out of cash but its euro zone and International Monetary Fund lenders have frozen support payments until it implements reforms, with talks bogged down over what measures the leftist-led government must take.

A Eurozone Without Greece


It’s time to think more seriously about this possibility.

The Wall Street Journal

By RICHARD BARWELL
April 1, 2015 3:48 p.m. ET

The 24-hour news cycle is causing a cacophony of speculation about Greece leaving the euro, the so-called Grexit. Amid all the arguments about whether Greece will or should exit, there has been a lot less thought given to what would happen if Greece does return to the drachma. It’s time to think more seriously about this possibility.

Wednesday, April 1, 2015

Greek stalemate to last until after Easter as Goldman Sachs warns of costly Grexit

Investment bank says "damage has been done" as creditors continue to squeeze Athens for more reforms in return for cash
The Telegraph 
By Mehreen Khan4:30PM BST 31 Mar 2015

Greece's bail-out stalemate showed no signs of easing after a long weekend of delay and frustration for Athens officials in Brussels.
Representatives of the Greek government returned to the country on Tuesday having failed to seal an agreement on the economic reforms they will need to carry out in order to satisfy the demands of its international lenders and unlock €7.2bn in bail-out funds.

When Will Greece Run Out of Money?

(Opinion)
12:43 PM EST MAR 31, 2015
By Nektaria Stamouli

The Wall Street Journal


Greece’s government is rushing to compile a list of economic overhauls to satisfy its creditors and secure desperately needed bailout aid. The cash-strapped country was hoping for a quick deal and an immediate disbursement, but European officials hint that several weeks might be needed before an agreement is reached.

But does Greece have that much time? Bills and debt repayments are looming, tax revenues have been weak, and every government ministry is looking under every sofa for cash.

Buffett Says Greek Exit From Euro ‘May Not Be a Bad Thing’


by Noah Buhayar, Doni Bloomfield
11:12 PM EEST
March 31, 2015

(Bloomberg) -- Billionaire investor Warren Buffett said the euro region could withstand Greece’s departure from the currency union.
“If it turns out the Greeks leave, that may not be a bad thing for the euro,” Buffett told CNBC in an interview Tuesday. “If everybody learns that the rules mean something and if they come to general agreement about fiscal policy among members, or something of the sort, that they mean business, that could be a good thing.”

Tuesday, March 31, 2015

Here's the 'ugly scenario' that's about to happen if Greece doesn't get a bailout deal


By MIKE BIRD

MAR. 31, 2015, 3:00 AM     
Greece's bailout talks aren't going very well.

Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras addressed Greece's parliament late on Monday, but he gave little new indication on a deal. Greece tentatively agreed back in February to extend its existing bailout, but a lack of technical detail means its creditors still haven't paid up even as the country is fast running out of money.

So what happens if Greece doesn't get the cash?

Greece fails to reach initial deal on reforms with lenders

ATHENS | BY RENEE MALTEZOU AND LEFTERIS PAPADIMAS

(Reuters) - Greece failed to reach an initial deal with the European Union and the IMF to unlock aid after the creditors dismissed a package of reforms from Athens as ideas rather than a concrete plan, officials said on Tuesday.

The lack of a deal further raises pressure on Athens, which faces the prospect of running out of money in a few weeks unless it can convince lenders to dole out more financial help.

Crunch time: Greece risks rising once again

Holly Ellyatt

A detailed list of concrete reforms from Greece had yet to be submitted to the country's international creditors Monday, prompting analysts to warn that Greece risks are rising – again.

The country's leftwing government outlined some reforms on Friday, but officials from the bodies overseeing its bailout – the International Monetary Fund (IMF), European Commission and European Central Bank (ECB) – were not convinced by its latest attempt to get a final – and desperately needed – tranche of aid.

One euro zone official told Reuters that the list resembled more of a "collection of ideas," than something to be presented to the Eurogroup of finance ministers, while another said a more technical list could be received Monday. The measures have to be approved by the euro zone ministers before more financial aid is released to Greece.

Greek PM says wants 'honest compromise' but not at any cost

ATHENS | BY LEFTERIS PAPADIMAS AND RENEE MALTEZOU

(Reuters) - Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras on Monday appealed for an "honest compromise" with lenders but warned Greece would not agree to an "unconditional" one, after its biggest creditor demanded it do more to show commitment to reform.

Greece Looks to Russia as Deal With Europe Stumbles

By LIZ ALDERMANMARCH 30, 2015

ATHENS — With the prospect of a default looming in Greece, Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras is preparing to meet next week with President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia as a European deal to give more aid to Athens falters.

The timing has raised questions of whether the visit is an ordinary component of the new Greek government’s multipronged foreign policy, or a pivot toward Russia for financial aid in the event that Greece’s talks with European officials collapse.