Tuesday, October 6, 2015

Greece Aims to Return to Capital Markets Within Next 20 Months

Prime Minister Tsipras said Greece would return to growth in the first half of 2016
The Wall Street Journal

By NEKTARIA STAMOULI ,  STELIOS BOURAS and  VIKTORIA DENDRINOU
Updated Oct. 5, 2015 3:55 p.m. ET
2 COMMENTS
ATHENS—Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras affirmed his commitment to the country’s new bailout program and said Greece could return to capital markets within the next two years.

In his first speech to Parliament since winning September’s elections, the Greek premier said his government would press ahead with its austerity plan, and pledged to soften some of the policies demanded by international creditors.

“We are fully aware that despite the positive aspects of the agreement, it also contains tough points,” he said.


Mr. Tsipras said the government would try to find “antidotes” to ease the burden of the heavy tax increases and pension-spending cuts required under the bailout terms. He promised to suspend a planned increase in the taxation of private schools, a measure that would hit many middle-class families.

Eurozone finance ministers meeting in Luxembourg on Monday agreed on a list of economic overhauls Greece must implement to get its next slice of financial aid.

Athens must complete two sets of economic and financial overhauls in the coming weeks to unlock €3 billion ($3.36 billion) in bailout funds, which are to be released in two steps as reforms are enacted.

Launching a three-day parliamentary debate, Mr. Tsipras pledged to lead Greece out of its debt crisis in the next four years and said the country would return to growth in the first half of 2016.

According to a draft budget, the economy this year will contract 2.3%, followed by a further 1.3% in 2016. Unemployment is expected to inch higher next year to 25.8% from 25.4% in 2015. The figures are in line with forecasts included in the country’s third bailout deal agreed upon in July.

The tax hikes and spending cuts in that agreement mean that Greece is targeting a primary budget deficit, excluding debt interest, of 0.25% of economic output for this year before swinging to a primary surplus of 0.5% in 2016.

The 41-year-old left-wing leader, first elected in January, abruptly reversed course on opposition to further austerity and agreed to a tough third bailout deal for up to €86 billion ($96.14 billion), a move seen as necessary to avoid a chaotic exit from the eurozone. He called snap elections in a successful bid to jettison doubters in his party, securing a comfortable win and a mandate to push through the deal. The Syriza leader renewed his coalition with the right-wing Independent Greeks.

The premier said his government’s top priorities will be a fast and successful conclusion of the first review of the country’s bailout, to open the road for talks on restructuring Greece’s debt, and the recapitalization of Greek banks.

Greeks have been living with limits on bank withdrawals and other financial transactions since late June.

“We are aware that the successful conclusion of the first review is the key that will open the door for the necessary debt restructuring,” Mr. Tsipras said.

The Greek premier also set as his government’s priority to restore collective bargaining in labor markets and tackle the issue of nonperforming bank loans.

He added that he will change the management in banks that will need bailout funds for their recapitalization.

The deal foresees up to €25 billion ($27.96 billion) for the recapitalization of the country’s banks. The exact amount needed to cover their capital shortfalls will be determined in a review by the European Central Bank, which will include an assessment of the balance sheets of the four largest Greek banks as well as stress tests.

Mr. Tsipras also repeated his pre-election pledge to tackle Greece’s decades-old problems of corruption and political patronage, which helped to bring about the debt crisis.


Write to Nektaria Stamouli at nektaria.stamouli@wsj.com, Stelios Bouras at stelios.bouras@wsj.com and Viktoria Dendrinou at viktoria.dendrinou@wsj.com

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