Elevated
talk may bolster the Tsipras government’s domestic support, but it does nothing
to inform voters about Europe ’s political
reality.
The Wall
Street Journal
By YANNIS
PALAIOLOGOS
Feb. 10,
2015 2:28 p.m. ET
The moment
of truth has arrived. The six days starting with Wednesday’s meeting of
eurozone finance ministers in Brussels will
determine the ability of Greece ’s
new government to come to terms with its European partners and avoid a catastrophic
Greek exit from the currency bloc.
In an
emotional speech to parliament on Sunday, Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras set out
the new government’s legislative agenda and once again rejected the possibility
of asking for an extension of Greece ’s
current bailout program beyond its Feb. 28 expiration. He also outlined a
series of measures that hewed very closely to the pre-election pledges of his
Syriza party. These included free housing, medical insurance and electricity
for the victims of the “barbarity” of the bailouts, as well as pension
increases for the poor, a repeal of a major property tax, an increase of the
tax-free threshold of personal income to €12,000 ($13,500) from €5,000, and a
gradual increase of the minimum monthly wage to its precrisis level of €751.
Mr.
Tsipras’s pledges, taken together, make his government’s stated goal of
sustainable primary annual surpluses of 1.5% of gross domestic product a lot
harder to achieve. It’s unclear, and a cause of some concern for Greece ’s
already-battered middle class, where he will find the tax revenue to make up
for the spending increases his plan entails.
But what
was really worrying about the speech wasn’t its content, which left room for
compromise, but its tone. Visibly affected, the prime minister made a number of
references to restoring Greeks’ national pride and sense of dignity. He spoke
of not backing down from implementing his pre-election program, saying his
government would “keep its word”—a clear reference to his predecessors, Antonis
Samaras and George Papandreou, who didn’t. “Our people cannot take further
disappointment,” Mr. Tsipras said.
A curious
thing has been happening in Greece
in the weeks since its Jan. 25 election: There has been an outbreak of
optimism, a rare public sentiment in the past five years, along with a torrent
of support for the new government even from people whose ideology is directly
opposed to Syriza’s hard-left politics. Polls give Mr. Tsipras approval ratings
around 70%. Not a day goes by without someone telling me that, though not a
Syriza voter, he or she is thrilled by the uncompromising stance of the prime
minister and Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis in their dealings with Greece ’s
creditors.
Behind the
scenes, an intense negotiation has been taking place in the past few days. In
fits and starts, and doing its best to hide the fact from the public, the Greek
government has begun offering major concessions that will pave the way for an
agreement. These include a commitment to continued budget discipline and are
likely to include more flexibility on privatization and product-market reform,
though details have not been made public yet.
These are
salutary developments, but Mr. Tsipras can’t hope that they will escape the
attention of Greek voters forever. His political ascent was premised, among
other things, on the great populist lie of an innocent people laid low by
nefarious elites domestic and foreign. He blamed Greece ’s collapse on a small caste
of corrupt politicians and their big-business backers, and on a ruthless,
dogmatic command center of European and International Monetary Fund officials
who imposed the pain of adjustment on the many and attacked workers’ rights in
the interests of international capital. He has never admitted the central
contribution of mass tax evasion and unsustainable pension obligations to
national bankruptcy, nor has he attempted to educate people on the limits to
sovereignty implicit in participating in a single-currency area.
Mr.
Varoufakis has already said that the government agrees with 70% of the measures
in the Greek bailout program, something Syriza had somehow neglected to mention
before the election. The prime minister will need to elaborate on this. He must
explain to his domestic audience that the Europeans are partners in the
existential struggle to rid Greece
of clientelism and corruption, not imperialists seeking to squeeze it for their
own profit. His appeals to reclaiming sovereignty and to restoring national
pride are shoring up his domestic position, but they are also limiting his room
for maneuver. If compromising is seen as tantamount to a loss of dignity, then
the government will not be able to make the necessary adjustments.
This isn’t
to absolve Greece ’s
creditors of their own responsibility, both for facilitating the cheap lending
that financed Athens ’s
unreasonable spending in the past and for their overly rigid stance now. The
view that some northern Europeans still cling to, that Greece needs to stick to
what its previous government agreed to because elections change nothing, is
both misguided and unsustainable. But Greece’s new leaders must also realize
that they are not the only ones with a democratic mandate, and that their own
voters, no matter how good they feel when they hear elevated talk of dignity
and pride, want nothing to jeopardize the country’s euro membership.
Mr.
Palaiologos, a journalist at Kathimerini newspaper in Athens , is the author of “The Thirteenth
Labour of Hercules” (Portobello Books, 2014).
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