Six-Month
Presidency Could be Overshadowed by Demands of Bailout
By MATINA
STEVIS
Updated
Jan. 9, 2014 2:26 p.m. ET
According
to EU etiquette, the country holding the presidency is expected to leave aside
its national agenda and focus on managing legislative drafts and negotiations,
wearing a neutral, EU hat. That option isn't available to Athens.
"We
have full understanding of the European nature" of the presidency, Deputy
Prime Minister Evangelos Venizelos told the foreign press in a briefing
Wednesday. He then went on to tackle at length and in detail questions about Greece 's
bailout.
But the
country's battered economy, the management of its €240-billion ($326 billion)
bailout and a dreaded discussion about its heavy debt load are much likelier to
make headlines over the period.
The country
formally assumed the role Wednesday. European commissioners flew in for
ceremonies full of pomp and circumstance. Greek flags waved alongside the EU's
starred blue-and-yellow banners on the capital's main avenues, under an
uncharacteristically warm January sun. Protests were banned in the city center
in an effort to avoid visible signs of a nation in economic distress.
Prime
Minister Antonis Samaras would like the EU presidency to mark Greece 's economic recovery and a minimal
presence in Athens
of international bailout inspectors—the unloved "troika" from the
European Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary
Fund.
He may get
this wish. The team returns to the Greek capital next week to pick up stalled
talks with the local authorities. But following this mission, the country is
set to see less and less of its bailout overlords.
In theory, Greece has €8.6
billion in euro-zone aid left to draw on in the first half of this year. The
IMF's part of the package runs longer, with a further €16.2 billion in loans
scheduled to be doled out between now and the first quarter of 2016.
The hope in
Athens is that it will be able to tap
longer-term debt markets this year, riding a wave that saw Ireland —the
first euro-zone bailout graduate—triumphantly return to the market this week.
This year
yields on Greece 's
10-year bonds have fallen below 8%, and on Wednesday reached their lowest point
since February 2010, when the country last borrowed from the private sector.
Greek
banks, which have suffered along with the economy, will be back on the agenda
soon. They are still waiting for an assessment, from BlackRock, of their
balance sheets, which was due last month. Depending on the results, they could
be forced to raise additional capital in the market before tapping the
leftovers of a government bank-recapitalization fund.
Troika
technocrats aren't happy but are finding themselves increasingly superseded by
their political bosses. A senior euro-zone official said he was worried that,
with Athens distancing itself from the troika
and Mr. Samaras enjoying political support from German Chancellor Angela
Merkel, unfinished business in Greece
to overhaul its economy may stall or stop altogether.
The IMF,
long concerned by the sheer weight of Greece 's debts, may make a fuss,
but there is no sign yet that it will.
If Mr.
Samaras can avoid such controversies and his wish of a Greek recovery
materializes, it may help turn the tide of voter sentiment that has shifted
dramatically against the EU since the crisis began. The prime minister
suggested at Wednesday's ceremony that the fates of Greece and that of the EU are
intertwined.
"At
the end of the Greek presidency, Greece
will be back on its feet and Europe will have
taken a major step to exit its crisis. What was once Europe's 'weakest link'
will be a symbol that Europe works, Europe can, and Europe
will make it," he said.
Write to
Matina Stevis at matina.stevis@wsj.com
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