Party in
Lead in Greek Election Polls Hones Economic Platform With Cadre of Left-Wing
Academics-Turned-Politician
The Wall
Street Journal
By CHARLES
FORELLE
Jan. 23,
2015 3:32 p.m. ET
159
COMMENTS
NAOUSA,
Greece—Wearing suit pants and a jacket, Costas Lapavitsas stood Wednesday
afternoon on the floor of a steel-fabricating shop here and addressed a few
dozen workers and small-business owners who smoked while sitting in plastic
chairs. “I am not a career politician,” he began.
Indeed. Mr.
Lapavitsas ’s political career is only a few weeks old. In Greece ’s elections Sunday, he is a parliamentary
candidate for the leftist opposition party Syriza, which leads Prime Minister
Antonis Samaras ’s conservative party in the polls and could roil politics
throughout Europe if it wins.
For more
than 20 years, the 54-year-old Mr. Lapavitsas has taught economics at the University of London ’s
School of Oriental and African Studies. Now, he is
part of the cadre of academics-turned-politicians forging Syriza’s economic
thinking.
European
economic orthodoxy, led by Germany ,
has fought Greece ’s
debt crisis with painful austerity—public-spending cuts and tax hikes—and other
strict reforms. Syriza’s rise is the most potent challenge yet to that
orthodoxy.
If Syriza
wins, it could embolden left-wing parties in other countries, especially Spain , where
political tensions also are boiling. It could even result in a rift with Germany that
ruptures the euro.
The
economic plan advanced by Mr. Lapavitsas and other professors aligned with
Syriza is rooted in the core principles of debt forgiveness and higher
government spending, which Germany
has rejected.
“We need to
renegotiate the logic,” says Yanis Varoufakis, a visiting professor at the University of Texas
at Austin until
a few days ago. He describes himself as a “libertarian Marxist” and has been
recruited by Syriza to run for a seat in Greece ’s parliament. His wife is
heading to Austin to pack up their belongings
for their move back to Athens .
A few years
ago, Syriza was a fringe coalition of leftists. It jumped into the political
mainstream in 2012 because of populist fervor and the party’s charismatic young
leader, Alexis Tsipras. But a muddy economic message left Syriza in second
place—and out of power.
It has
honed its focus since then, and Mr. Lapavitsas describes the party’s platform
as “a Keynesian program with redistribution attached, with some Marxist view of
the world.” He adds: “We are not ashamed of that.”
In the tradition
of John Maynard Keynes, Syriza advocates public spending to reignite economic
growth. Greece
can afford to spend more if some of its debt is forgiven by other countries.
Nikolaos
Chountis, a Syriza candidate in Athens ,
ticks off the party’s spending priorities: food and electricity subsidies for
impoverished households, a pension boost for the poorest retirees, a hike in
the minimum wage and tax cuts for low earners. “The legislation is ready,” he
says.
Since 2010,
Greece ’s economic policy has
largely been dictated by the “troika” of technocrats appointed by Europe and
the International Monetary Fund to supervise Greece ’s €240 billion ($280
billion) bailout.
The troika
wields a memorandum that minutely details what Greece must do in return for the
rescue. Section 5.1.2.6.ii. commits Greece to reviewing customs
procedures for canned peaches and four other products.
More
significantly, the bailout put ceilings on government spending and floors on
revenue. It has cut pensions, subsidies and the public payroll.
“It has to
be over,” says George Stathakis, a University
of Crete economist who
won a parliamentary seat for Syriza in 2012 and is an economic adviser to Mr.
Tsipras.
The party’s
first message to Europe would be “let’s get
rid of the memorandum,” Mr. Stathakis says. Syriza is willing to agree to a
balanced budget, adds John Milios, another Syriza economist, but he says it is
“impossible” for Greece
to pay down its debt while the economy is stagnant.
Naousa,
where Mr. Lapavitsas is running for parliament, is in the steep foothills of
the Vermio mountains in northern Greece . Naousa became a
cotton-spinning center under Ottoman rule in the late 19th century. Its mills
were powered by a stream that cut through town, tumbling to the wide Macedonian
plain below.
The son of
a doctor, Mr. Lapavitsas grew up in the area. He left to attend university in England . The
area’s cotton mills have steadily closed.
“Greece has been de-industrializing for 30 years,
ever since Greece
joined the European Union,” he says Mr. Lapavitsas. “The period of the bailout
has finished it off, basically.”
From his
academic perch in London ,
Mr. Lapavitsas challenged the German-led approach. In 2010, he began writing
articles advocating that Greece
leave the euro. He is close to Panagiotis Lafazanis, the leader of an anti-euro
bloc inside Syriza, though Mr. Lapavitsas says he accepts Syriza’s pro-euro
position.
When
elections were called in December, Mr. Lapavitsas says, local officials asked
him to run. So he trundled Wednesday from a hospital visit past peach orchards
and grapevines to the area’s last cotton mill. He watched machines spin bales
into ropes, ropes into strings, and strings into threads.
“We believe
there are big political changes coming,” he told workers, promising to raise Greece ’s
minimum wage.
Mr.
Lapavitsas then drove to the steel-fabricating shop. He told workers and
small-business owners that “we’ll die” unless Greece can renegotiate its debt and
unwind austerity.
Charalambos
Kotsidis, one of the shop’s owners, says he will vote for Syriza in Sunday’s
elections. Sales for the supplier of steel girders and plates to construction
companies are down 80% in the past five years, he says. The number of employees
has shriveled to 12 from 60.
“In a
country where values have dropped 80%, you cannot demand that payment,” he says
of Greece ’s
bailout debt. “It is the same in business.”
A default
in 2012 on Greek bonds wiped out most of what was owed to private investors.
Much of Greece ’s
remaining debt is owed to other eurozone countries. It expires decades from now
and carries low interest rates.
But the
European Central Bank holds about €7 billion in bonds that are due this summer
and could become a flash point. Greece
doesn’t have enough cash to repay the bonds but can borrow the money if it
sticks with the bailout.
“They know
we can’t pay it back, so they want to lend us the money,” says Mr. Varoufakis,
the former Texas
professor. “I’ll be damned if I’m part of a government that says yes to this.”
Persuading Germany to change its mind seems like it will be
a daunting challenge for Mr. Tsipras if Syriza wins and he becomes Greece ’s next
prime minister. But Syriza could splinter if he backpedals on the party’s
promises.
On
Wednesday evening, Mr. Lapavitsas prepared to address a rally at Naousa’s
auditorium. In the lobby, songwriter Kostas Kaldaras compared Greece ’s two once-dominant parties, which
followed the troika’s dictates, to the Symplegades, the mythical rocks at the
mouth of the Black Sea that smashed passing
ships.
“They
crushed culture and social cohesion,” Mr. Kaldaras said. Syriza would “start to
change the form of the European Union from a primitive neoliberalism.”
Mr.
Lapavitsas told the crowd that Europe is a “continent of economic asphyxiation”
with Greece
at the “cutting edge” of the decline. “It has to be written off,” he said of Greece ’s debt,
acknowledging that the negotiations would be tough.
If the
answer is no, “we will not back down,” Mr. Lapavitsas said. “It is simple. We
will not back down.”
— Pavlos
Zafiropoulos contributed to this article.
Write to
Charles Forelle at charles.forelle@wsj.com
http://www.wsj.com/articles/syrizas-rise-fueled-by-professors-turned-politicians-1422045127
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