By MATINA STEVIS And RIVA FROYMOVICH
The Wall Street Journal
… Prime ministers
will be confronted with new reality of fiscal surveillance…
In a meeting that is likely to have "less drama"
than recent gatherings, according to European Commission President José Manuel
Barroso, the leaders are likely to focus on the way forward but avoid the key
question of enlarging firewalls protecting against the sovereign-debt crisis.
That discussion may take place later in March.
European Union heads of government will kick off talks on a
set of economic reforms and steps to boost growth and jobs, as well as on
recent developments in Arab countries.
The leaders are expected to give European Council President
Herman Van Rompuy a nod for a fresh term running through the end of 2014. He is
also set to be elected to chair the summits of euro-zone heads of government.
"On Greece
there's been real progress in the last couple of weeks," Mr. Barroso said,
adding that the risk of a credit crunch has been reduced by the actions of the
European Central Bank. "One of the key issues is one of confidence, of
trust...that is why I want discussion of growth to be as concrete as
possible."
An EU diplomat said leaders may talk about whether to
increase the region's bailout mechanism but feel there is no pressure to make a
decision. Instead, euro-area leaders may have to meet later next month to
discuss the issue, two EU officials said.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel "wants the question of Greece to be
far out of the picture before discussing firewalls," one of the officials
said. Greece
will complete the bond exchange on its debt restructuring on March 12.
There is currently a €500 billion ($671 billion) cap on the
European Stability Mechanism, which will be launched this summer. However, many
countries want that ceiling lifted or want the ESM to be combined with the
European Financial Stability Facility, the temporary rescue fund.
Senior EU officials have said they want a decision on the
firewall in March. Non-euro-zone Group of 20 countries also are pressuring Europe to act in exchange for giving fresh resources to
the International Monetary Fund. But a German government official said
Wednesday that a decision may not come in March.
At the talks Thursday and Friday, EU leaders will discuss
economic reforms and commit to measures that would boost growth and jobs even
while continuing to slim down budget deficits, according to a draft of the
meeting's conclusions reviewed by Dow Jones Newswires.
The leaders will recommit to the Europe 2020 targets on
growth and jobs, which include taking actions to "restore normal lending
to the economy, promote growth and competitiveness" and tackle
unemployment, the document said. The draft said "efforts undertaken to
date remain insufficient to meet most of these targets."
The 27 EU leaders will also commit to review certain tax
policies, including energy, financial transactions, savings and corporate.
The draft indicates that EU leaders will also discuss
financial-sector regulation and will ask the European Commission to tighten
rules on bank pay and bonuses.
On Thursday evening, leaders will hear a report from the
European Commission on countries with outsized deficits, a first step to a new
system of tighter supervision that will require governments with imbalanced
economies to submit reform plans by April.
"Prime ministers
will be confronted with new reality of fiscal surveillance," said one
EU diplomat.
While the EU executive has expanded its powers over the past
year to impose sanctions on member states that transgress fiscal rules,
countries have a lot of time before they need to implement Commission
recommendations. Some officials say there is still not enough real peer
pressure on member states to ensure countries adjust their policies.
Euro-zone finance ministers, meeting separately ahead of the
EU leaders Thursday, will also hold talks on fiscal discipline and budget
implementation matters. Their main task is to check that Greece has implemented the new legislation and
reforms Athens
committed to in return for fresh assistance. Sign off by the ministers would
pave the way for the €130 billion second bailout package to be finalized.
The ministers may also look at Spain 's budget after the country
said earlier this week that it missed EU budget deficit forecasts for 2011.
Eurogroup president Jean-Claude Juncker said the ministers would examine if the
failure had more to do with regional budgets than federal ones.
"It's a question of how Spanish government will be able
to reconcile its national and regional budgets with European
stipulations," Mr. Juncker said.
On Thursday, EU leaders are also expected to grant Serbia
candidate status—allowing it to open accession talks with the regional bloc.
They are also expected to discuss Syria
and to call on Russia and China to stop
blocking United Nations action against President Bashar al-Assad, diplomats
said.
However, diplomats said a discussion on the EU's Schengen
border-free accord is unlikely to see a breakthrough on allowing Romania and Bulgaria to join. Despite
Commission recommendations that the two countries have met the conditions,
their accession to Schengen has been blocked by the Netherlands among other countries.
—Laurence Norman and Frances Robinson in Brussels
and William Boston in Berlin
contributed to this article.
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