(Reuters) -
European Central Bank Governing Council member Christian Noyer said on Monday
that interest rates have to remain low for an extended period and might go even
lower if needed as officials try to ensure the euro zone does not fall into
deflation.
Central
bankers have to invent policies to achieve price stability if conventional
monetary policy stops working, Noyer said, suggesting the ECB will keep its
options open after a surprise slowdown in inflation.
"We
see risks that low inflation will remain for some time," Noyer said at a
conference in Tokyo .
"We
will keep interest rates low for an extended period, or even lower if need be,
for price stability."
ECB
executive board member Benoit Coeure said disinflation in Europe
is likely to continue for now, but will not progress to deflation because the
economy is recovering and inflation expectations remain anchored around 2
percent.
A slowdown
in inflation in the euro zone prompted the ECB to cut its main refinancing rate
to a record low of 0.25 percent earlier this month. A more conservative
minority at the bank voted against this move, raising concerns about a split
within the bank.
With the
nominal benchmark interest rate approaching zero, there are also concerns about
whether the ECB has enough ammunition to combat slowing prices.
The ECB's
mandate is to keep inflation close to but below 2 percent. The central bank
eased policy to prevent the slowdown in inflation from lowering inflation
expectations, Noyer said.
Recent wage
cuts in some European countries are a welcome adjustment for competitiveness,
because this helps reverse a trend where wages rose too rapidly, he said.
At the same
time, the ECB does not want inflation to become too low, because this could
jeopardize price stability, Noyer said.
Coeure said
that Europe 's economy is stabilizing and the
banking sector is strengthening, but policymakers need to make progress with
structural reforms to bring down unemployment and encourage business
investment.
With euro
zone inflation running at 0.7 percent, well below the ECB's target, several
central bankers have said recently they are open to taking new steps to prevent
deflationary pressure from harming the economic outlook.
SEEKING A
'SAFETY MARGIN'
In cutting
the refinancing rate, "we did not act because we see deflation risks
materializing in the euro area," Coeure said. "Rather, we acted
because we wanted to keep a sufficient safety margin above zero percent
inflation."
Because the
euro zone economy is growing again, inflation will very gradually return to a
level that is close to but below 2 percent, Coeure said, but added monetary
policy alone cannot ensure a sustained economic recovery.
Deep
structural reforms are also needed to raise the potential growth rate and avoid
a vicious circle where low growth expectations cause companies to delay
investment, which would further lower potential growth, he said.
Last week,
ECB President Mario Draghi poured cold water on a media report that the ECB was
actively considering taking its deposit rate - now at zero - into negative
territory.
This move
would see the ECB effectively charging banks a fee to hold their money
overnight, and could possibly encourage banks to lend more, which could ease
deflationary pressure.
The euro
fell against the dollar and the yen last week after the media report was
published.
(Editing by
Eric Meijer and Richard Borsuk)
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