Friday, August 12, 2011

French economy stagnates in second quarter



(Reuters) - French economic growth ground to a halt in the second quarter, raising pressure on the government to cut spending and abolish tax breaks to convince turbulent financial markets it will deliver on debt reduction targets.

U.S. stock futures slide but Europe seen firmer for now



(Reuters) - U.S. stock futures slid 1 percent on Friday, pulling Asian shares off early highs, as sentiment remained cautious on concerns over the European debt crisis, which will probably keep supporting safe havens like gold and Swiss franc.

Thursday, August 11, 2011

Why This Crisis Differs From the 2008 Version



The Wall Street Journal
It is a parallel that is seducing Wall Street bankers and investors: 2011 as a repeat of 2008, the history of financial turmoil playing in one endless loop.

As a big fund manager muttered darkly this past weekend while heading into the office to prepare for a tumultuous Monday, "The sense of déjà vu is almost sickening."

Central Bankers Race to Protect Growth in 72 Hours of Crisis



Bloomberg
Central bankers are racing to shield their economies from fiscal tightening and lopsided currency swings that threaten a new global recession.
In the 72 hours after a Group of Seven conference call on Aug. 7, the Federal Reserve pledged to keep interest rates near zero through at least mid-2013, the European Central Bank intervened in bond markets and the Bank of England indicated it’s ready to add more stimulus if needed. Japan signaled renewed concern about the yen and Switzerland yesterday stepped up its fight to curb an “overvalued” franc.

France Considers Further Austerity



The Wall Street Journal
By DAVID GAUTHIER-VILLARS
PARIS—The French government pledged Wednesday to consider fresh tax rises, spending cuts and other budget measures to ensure the country doesn't deviate from a challenging deficit-reduction trajectory as market concerns that France's top-notch creditworthiness is at risk accelerated.

Soul searching lies ahead as riots cool in Britain



(Reuters) - British Prime Minister David Cameron will face pressure Thursday to soften his austerity plans, toughen up policing and do more to help inner-city communities after days of riots and looting laid bare deep social tensions in a depressed economy.

Wednesday, August 10, 2011

Greece Feels Push Toward Euro Exit


The New York Times
By JACK EWING AND LIZ ALDERMAN
Published: August 10, 2011
FRANKFURT — If the European debt crisis were an old ocean survival movie, there would be a scene in which the passengers in the lifeboat realize that they don’t have enough food and water for everyone and that someone needs to go over the side. We’re looking at you, Greece. In fact, that is the sentiment a growing number of reputable economists and other commentators, particularly from fully liquid Germany, have been expressing lately.

U.K. Ethnic Tensions Stoked by Riots

The Wall Street Journal
By GUY CHAZAN
BIRMINGHAM—Three Birmingham men died early Wednesday as they sought to protect local businesses from rioters, showing how the violence that began four days ago in London and spread to the U.K.'s other big cities is stoking long-simmering ethnic tensions in some of the country's most racially diverse communities.
The three men who died, all Asians, were hit by a carload of suspected looters. West Midlands police arrested a man near the scene and launched a murder inquiry. Witnesses said the man, the driver of the vehicle, was black.

Greek Bond Swap May Be Extended


The Wall Street Journal
By COSTAS PARIS And ALKMAN GRANITSAS
LONDON—Greece's ambitious reform program suffered a double setback Wednesday after it emerged that talks with the country's creditors on a bond swap plan have stumbled and fresh data showed a sharp increase in the budget deficit.

Tuesday, August 9, 2011

European Stocks Swing Wildly in Volatile Trade



By ISHAQ SIDDIQI
 The Wall Street Journal
LONDON—European stock markets plunged after earlier swinging to positive territory, as worries of another recession in the U.S. and debt contagion across the euro zone hit investor confidence.

The DAX in Frankfurt was recently 4.4% lower and London's FTSE 100 had also dropped 2.5%. The CAC index in Paris had fallen 2.4%.

India’s economy



Reflections of reality
Does India have a bad-debt problem?
Aug 6th 2011 | MUMBAI | from the print edition
The Economist
A RITUAL familiar to students of the subprime and euro crises has started taking place on Indian banks’ conference calls with analysts and investors. The number-crunchers probe the lenders about their exposures to potential bad debts. Bank bosses insist that, although there are niggles, all is under control.


Some scepticism is due. With India’s economy slowing—growth could dip below 8% this year, from a peak of 9-10%—and interest rates rising (see chart), borrowers will be under more strain. India’s banks have been growing fast for years, often a sign that discipline has slipped. Total loans have almost tripled since 2005.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), which regulates banks and sets interest rates, has a record of running a tight ship. Gross non-performing loans have fallen from about a fifth of the total in 1995 to under 3% today. But the RBI is neither infallible nor squeaky-clean. Between 2005 and 2008 some foreign banks and several local ones got caught by a mini-boom in unsecured loans to consumers that quickly soured. And since the start of the global financial crisis the RBI has quietly given Indian lenders some get-out-of-jail cards; these may pale into insignificance compared with perks doled out by Western regulators but they suggest that the central bank prefers to fudge the recognition of losses in the system if it thinks stability is at risk.

Obama says he inherited economic problems




Mon, Aug 8 2011
By Jeff Mason
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Barack Obama said on Monday he inherited many of the country's problems with high debt and deficits when he entered the White House, sounding a theme likely to dominate his 2012 re-election campaign.

British riots spread on third night of violence




Mon, Aug 8 2011
By Stefano Ambrogi and Mohammad Abbas
LONDON (Reuters) - Rioting and looting spread across London on Monday as hooded youths set buildings and cars ablaze, smashed shop windows and hurled bottles and stones at police in a third night of violence in Britain's worst unrest in decades.
Prime Minister David Cameron cut short his holiday to fly home to tackle the violence, which appeared to be led by youths alienated by years of underemployment which left them feeling marginalized even before the economic downturn.

Downgrade Ignites a Global Selloff



U.S. NEWSAUGUST 9, 2011

Dow's 634.76-Point Plunge Is Worst Since '08 as Worries Rise About U.S. Economy; Asian Markets Drop at Open
By E.S. BROWNING

The downgrade of the U.S.'s credit rating sparked a global selloff on Monday, pushing the Dow Jones Industrial Average to its sharpest one-day decline since the financial crisis in 2008.

Can China afford to downgrade the U.S.?



AUG 8, 2011 10:20 EDT
Reuters

By Joseph S. Nye, Jr.
The opinions expressed are his own.

After the rating agency Standard & Poor’s downgraded America’s long-term debt, China said that Washington needed to “cure its addiction to debts” and “live within its means.” It must have been a delicious moment in Beijing, accustomed over the years to lectures from Washington about its management of the yuan.

Global Bonds Gain $132 Billion as Stock Rout Cuts $7.8 Trillion



Bloomberg
By Sarah McDonald - Aug 9, 2011
The worldwide retreat from stocks and commodities following Standard & Poor’s unprecedented cut of the U.S. AAA credit rating has driven the value of the global bond market to a record high.

Monday, August 8, 2011

To Reassure Markets, Europe Needs Bigger Bailout Fund, Says Geithner



By IAN TALLEY And ALAN ZIBEL
WASHINGTON—U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said Europe needs to boost the size of its emergency bailout facility to stem a sovereign-debt crisis threatening to engulf two of its largest economies and push the global economy back into a recession.

NATO investigates deadly Afghan helicopter crash



(Reuters) - NATO tried to determine on Sunday if Taliban insurgents had shot down a troop-carrying helicopter in Afghanistan, killing 38 in the largest loss of life suffered by foreign forces in a single incident in 10 years of war.

ECB Moves to Prop Up Italy, Spain



The Wall Street Journal
By BRIAN BLACKSTONE And MARCUS WALKER
FRANKFURT—The European Central Bank signaled it would purchase government bonds of Italy and Spain on a large scale, in the most dramatic and controversial escalation of its nearly two-year effort to stem Europe's unfolding debt crisis.

G-7 Seeks to Avert Collapse in World Confidence


Bloomberg
By Toru Fujioka - Aug 8, 2011
Group of Seven nations sought to head off a collapse in investor confidence after the U.S. sovereign- rating cut and a slump in Italian and Spanish debt intensified threats to the global economy.
G-7 finance ministers and central bank governors pledged in a statement to “take all necessary measures to support financial stability and growth.” Officials will inject liquidity and act against disorderly currency moves as needed, they said after a call late yesterday European time. The G-20, which includes emerging markets, issued a similar communique.