A $3
trillion shift year from oil producers
to global consumers.
Joe Weisenthal
TheStalwart
February 1, 2016 — 4:49 AM EET
Bloomberg
Economists
are still hotly debating whether the oil crash has been a net positive for
advanced economies.
Optimists
argue that cheap oil is a good thing for consumers and commodity-sensitive
businesses, while pessimists point to the hit to energy-related investment and
possible spillover into the financial system.
A new note
from Francisco Blanch at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, however, puts the oil
move into a much bigger perspective, arguing that a sustained price plunge
"will push back $3 trillion a year from oil producers to global consumers,
setting the stage for one of the largest transfers of wealth in human
history."
Blanch and
his team already see evidence that the fall in the price of crude is having a
positive impact on demand, and say that it could accelerate even further if
prices don't pick up.