Thursday, August 4, 2011

Stocks Tumble as Signs Point to Weak Global Economy


 The New York Times

The stock market fell sharply Thursday on intensifying investor fears about a slowdown in global economic growth and worries about Europe’s ongoing debt crisis, which is centered now on Italy and Spain.
As Japan intervened to weaken its currency and European stock markets turned negative across the board, United States stocks fell by around 3 percent in morning trading in New York.


Emerging vs developed economies

Power shift

Aug 4th 2011, 17:34 by The Economist online
The emerging world begins to seize the lion's share of global markets
REAL GDP in most rich economies is still below its level at the end of 2007. In contrast, emerging economies’ output has jumped by almost 20% over the same period. The rich world’s woes have clearly hastened the shift in global economic power towards the emerging markets. But exactly how big are emerging economies compared with the old developed world? This chart looks at a wide range of indicators:

Euro crisis: Barroso warns debt crisis is spreading


BBC News
European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso has warned that the sovereign debt crisis is spreading beyond the periphery of the eurozone.
In a letter to European governments, he called on them to give their "full backing" to the euro currency zone.
He also said governments should rapidly re-assess the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF) to reduce the risk of contagion in the eurozone.

Bond spreads in the euro zone
The single currency's medical chart
Aug 3rd 2011, 18:31 by The Economist online
THE euro zone's disease has taken a strange turn since the last summit on July 21st. The medicine that leaders prescribed immediately improved the situation of countries in the emergency room, ie, Greece, Ireland and Portugal, which have all received bail-out loans. But it worsened the condition of those outside hospital who had started to fall ill.

Euro Problems Need Fixing Before Financial Markets Lose Their Faith: View



By the Editors Aug 4, 2011 3:00 AM GMT+0300
Bloomberg
The U.S. Congress may have narrowly avoided a government-debt disaster, but financial troubles are resurging across the Atlantic. If European leaders can’t find the political will to implement the drastic measures needed to stem their crisis, markets could soon put them in an untenable position.

Italy's Woes Weigh on Europe



Prime Minister Resists Calls for New Measures, Anxiety Spreads Across Continent
By STACY MEICHTRY, CHARLES FORELLE and DAVID ENRICH
ROME—Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi resisted calls for a swift economic overhaul, heightening worries that the world's eighth-largest economy is sliding into the sort of debt distress that has laid low its smaller European neighbors.

Wednesday, August 3, 2011

World debt guide



Owe dear
Jul 28th 2011, 13:05 by The Economist online
Our interactive graphic shows how deeply in hock we all are THE headlines are all about sovereign debt at the moment. But that is only part of the problem. Debt rose across the rich world during the boom, from consumers maxing out credit cards to financial firms taking on more leverage, and the process of reducing it is still at a very early stage.

U.S. Debt-Ceiling Agreement Is an Alarming Bipartisan Mess: View



Bloomberg
The deal reached by the U.S. Congress to raise the $14.3 trillion debt ceiling has spared the nation an immediate catastrophe while potentially setting a path for longer-term disasters.
Financial markets’ initial euphoria over the deal faded quickly. The S&P 500 index of U.S. stocks declined for the sixth day in a row, losing 0.4 percent Monday to close at 1,286.94. The dollar gained against the euro and the yen but declined to a record low against the Swiss franc.

Gold Rallies to Record for Second Day as Signs of Slowdown Fire Up Demand



Bloomberg
By Pham-Duy Nguyen and Nicholas Larkin - Aug 3, 2011 5:35 PM GMT+0300
Gold rose to a record $1,675.90 an ounce in New York on signs that the U.S. economy is faltering amid debt woes, boosting demand for the precious metal as an investment haven.
Moody’s Investors Service said the U.S. credit rating may be downgraded and yesterday placed the country on negative outlook after President Barack Obama signed into law a plan to lift the nation’s borrowing limit and cut spending. Gold priced in euros also reached a record on concern that slowing growth will hamper efforts by Spain and Italy to trim debt.

EU says capacity to solve debt crisis in doubt



(Reuters) - The European Union acknowledged on Wednesday that investors now doubt whether the euro zone can overcome its debt crisis and Italy's Silvio Berlusconi called for more action to ward off market attacks.
European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso said a surge in Italian and Spanish bond yields to 14-year highs was cause for deep concern although they did not reflect the true state of the third and fourth largest economies in the currency area.

Worsening euro crisis may force bigger rescue fund



(Reuters) - A worsening euro zone debt crisis may ultimately force the bloc to expand its 440 billion euro ($625 billion) bailout fund, despite political opposition in key contributing countries, some officials and analysts say.

Italy, Spain Bond Yields Rise Further


The Wall Street Journal
BY NEELABH CHATURVEDI AND MARK BROWN
LONDON—Italian and Spanish government bond yields rose again toward dangerously high levels early Wednesday on persistent fears that the euro-zone debt crisis is spreading to countries too big to be rescued by the existing euro-zone bailout fund.
Italian 10-year yields rose to 6.227%, a fresh euro-era high, taking the ...

The debt ceiling crisis


Tuesday morning quarterbacking
Aug 2nd 2011, 8:24 by Buttonwood
The Economist
WHAT lessons can be learned from the last minute deal on the US debt ceiling? The first may be that the markets (and some commenters on this blog) were right all along; the politicians would take things to the wire but would eventually do a deal. "It's theatre, folks" as one reader remarked. The trouble with this assumption is that it only encourages politicians to play the game of chicken on the grounds that the other side will blink; this time, the Democrats did but they may adjust their tactics next time.

That 30s feeling



Aug 2nd 2011, 15:16 by R.A. | WASHINGTON,
The Economist
PAUL KRUGMAN finds a troubling story out of Greece:
They descended by the hundreds — black-shirted, bat-wielding youths chasing down dark-skinned immigrants through the streets of Athens and beating them senseless in an unprecedented show of force by Greece’s far-right extremists.

Worries Mount Over Italy and Spain


The Wall Street Journal
By STACY MEICHTRY in Rome, JONATHAN HOUSE in Madrid and CHARLES FORELLE in Brussels
Government bonds and financial markets in Italy and Spain continued their relentless downward march Tuesday, heightening concern about the potential spread of the euro zone's debt crisis into two of the region's most vulnerable countries.

Tuesday, August 2, 2011

WRAPUP 2-Cyprus faces imminent bailout threat, biggest bank says

Reuters
Adds statements by finance ministry, European Commission)
* Cyprus would be fourth euro zone state to seek bailout
* Bond yields soar in secondary market, CDS hit record
* European Commission says bailout not being discussed
* Government says no significant funding needs til December
* Looking at local, international funding options after that
By Michele Kambas

ECB eyed for signs of growing rate hike caution



(Reuters) - Financial markets will be watching the European Central Bank on Thursday for any hints that recent signs of an economic slowdown and the unrelenting debt crisis have lowered the chances of another rate hike this year.

Germans Abetted Greek ‘Kleptocrats’ as Odious Sovereign Debt Grew: Books


Bloomberg
If you’re still wondering how an Aegean wonderland of sun, sea and sand slid into a money pit and began dragging the euro with it, pick up Jason Manolopoulos’s “Greece’s ‘Odious’ Debt.”

Monday, August 1, 2011

How much closer a union?



The Economist
01-08-2011
The euro zone is moving closer towards an uncertain fiscal union
AT THE emergency meeting of euro-zone leaders on July 21st Jean-Claude Trichet, president of the European Central Bank, circulated a set of charts showing how bond spreads had blown out after every summit over the past year. He also handed out a ranking of countries deemed by markets most likely to default: Greece, Portugal and Ireland were at the top, riskier than Venezuela and Pakistan;

Answers to the 7 big “what-ifs” of debt default



The debt negotiations are getting down to the wire. Republican and Democratic lawmakers are scrambling to broker a deal to raise the country’s $14.3 trillion debt ceiling before Tuesday, when the Treasury will no longer be able to borrow funds to meet all of its obligations. That’s why major credit rating agencies are considering a downgrade of U.S. debt.
What does that mean for consumers? Here are some answers we compiled from Reuters Moneyexperts:
Should I be worried that I won’t receive my Social Security benefit in August?