9:26 AM EST
JAN 23, 2015
By Marcus
Walker
The Wall
Street Journal
Greece’s elections on Sunday take place
against the background of rising tensions between the small nation and its main
creditors, eurozone governments and the IMF, about the country’s strict bailout
regimen. Polls point to a win for leftwing opposition party Syriza over the
ruling conservatives of New Democracy. Would a Syriza-led government start a
game of chicken with Germany
and other creditors that could lead to havoc and a Greek exit from the euro? Or
can a compromise be found? Here’s our crystal ball.
Q: Who will
lead the next Greek government?
Very likely
Syriza (whose leader, Alexis Tsipras is pictured above), the leftwing
opposition party, unless the conservative incumbent, Premier Antonis Samaras,
pulls off the biggest upset victory since Harry Truman in 1948. Syriza might
win an absolute majority in Parliament, but polls suggest it will fall just
short, requiring support from another party. A pact with centrist To Potami
(The River) or center-left Pasok could make the government more pragmatic in
talks with Greece’s
international creditors. A pact with the nationalist Independent Greeks could
make it more hardline.