Traders say
Greenback Being Bought Ahead of Next Week’s FOMC meeting
By HIROYUKI
KACHI
Updated
March 10, 2015 3:14 a.m. ET
The Wall
Street Journal
The dollar
set fresh multiyear highs against the euro and the yen in Asian trade Tuesday,
as market participants bet on the continuing divergence in monetary and
economic conditions in the U.S. ,
the eurozone and Japan .
The common
currency fell to $1.0785—its lowest since Sept. 3, 2003—in midday trading
before stabilizing at $1.0796 midway through afternoon trading.
Against the
yen, the greenback extended its gains, at one point hitting ¥122.04, its
highest since July 20, 2007.
Market
participants said that brisk U.S.
jobs data released Friday helped increase hopes that the Federal Reserve would
drop its reference to being patient before raising rates from its statement at
the Federal Open Market Committee next week. Such a move would heighten hopes
of the central bank raising interest rates around midyear.
“It looks like
investors are buying the dollar in advance of the FOMC meeting,” said Mizuho
Securities FX strategist Kenji Yoshii. While there were no specific buying
incentives Tuesday, the dollar gained traction as options-related stop-loss
buying orders kicked in, he added.
In contrast
with speculation over the future direction U.S. monetary authorities will
take, the European Central Bank kicked off its asset purchasing program earlier
this week. In Japan ,
concerns that declining oil prices might damp inflation expectations prompted
the Bank of Japan to take extra stimulus steps in late October.
Market
participants said that expectations for an upswing in Japan ’s Nikkei
Stock Average, combined with comments by Dallas Federal Reserve President
Richard Fisher , helped give the dollar some early impetus with some investors
having taken speculative dollar-buying positions to drive the pair up.
Mr. Fisher
said Monday that “if we are serious about limiting full-employment overshoot, I
posit that prompt action to scale back policy accommodation is likely to prove
imperative.”
The veteran
policy maker, who retires from the Dallas Fed on March 19, has long argued that
the time to push interest rates above the nearly zero levels they have occupied
since the end of 2008 is very near. Mr. Fisher won't attend the FOMC meeting
scheduled for March 17-18.
After
rising in the morning, the Nikkei ended the day off 0.7% at 18665.11,
disappointing some investors who were expecting the index to break above the
19000-mark following advances in U.S. stocks overnight.
“Resistance
at the 19000 level has been capping strong market advances,” said Tatsunori
Kawai, chief strategist at kabu.com Securities . Meanwhile, the approach of
monthly Nikkei options and quarterly futures contracts on Friday may also be
contributing to the profit-taking mood, he added.
Going
forward, analysts say that the pace of the dollar’s gains against the yen will
be “relatively slow” due in part to moves by Japanese firms and investors to
repatriate profits.
“The dollar
is broadly strong, but the yen isn’t necessarily that weak,” Junya Tanase,
chief currency strategist at J.P. Morgan Chase in Tokyo said. “The pair may gain traction once
yen buying ahead of the annual book closing at end-March runs its course.”
— Tatsuo
Ito and Bradford Frischkorn contributed to this article.
Write to
Hiroyuki Kachi at hiroyuki.kachi@wsj.com
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