By DAVID M.
HERSZENHORNMARCH 16, 2014
The New
York Times
The
outcome, in a region that shares a language and centuries of history with Russia , was a
foregone conclusion even before exit polls showed more than 93 percent of
voters favoring secession. Still, the result deepened the conflict over Ukraine , forcing the United States and its European
allies to decide how swiftly and forcefully to levy threatened sanctions
against Russian officials including top aides to President Vladimir V. Putin.
With the
voting complete, Mr. Putin, who had stalled on the question of annexation by
saying he wanted to hear the Crimean public proclaim its will, is now under
pressure to make a decision. He could move ahead — a complex and costly venture
given the peninsula’s geographic isolation — or leave more than two million
people, whose well-being he vowed to protect, in the limbo of other
Russian-backed breakaway regions like Abkhazia and South Ossetia, in Georgia.
Should he
annex Crimea, Mr. Putin could find himself quickly forced into negotiations
with the fledgling government in Kiev that he
has so far refused to recognize or meet, or face a serious conflict over water,
energy and other essentials for which Crimea is largely dependent on mainland Ukraine .
Mr. Putin
also needs to decide what to do about Ukrainian military personnel, many
surrounded for more than two weeks on bases throughout Crimea ,
and refusing to surrender.
Unrest
continued to swirl in eastern Ukraine
as well, where Russian troops have massed along the border, raising fears of a
new military incursion into mainland Ukraine . In Kharkiv, several
thousand pro-Russia demonstrators scuffled on Sunday with the police outside
the governor’s office. The crowd shouted, “Putin! Putin! Putin!” and “Crimea we are with you!” After pushing against the thick
ranks of Ukrainian police guarding the governor’s office for several minutes,
the crowd marched to the Russian Consulate, carrying Russian flags and freshly
made red banners that read “Russian Spring.”
President
Obama spoke with Mr. Putin by telephone on Sunday, but the statements they
later released had little if any hint of progress toward a peaceful resolution
of the crisis.
“President
Obama emphasized that the Crimean ‘referendum,’ which violates the Ukrainian
constitution and occurred under the duress of Russian military intervention,
would not be recognized by the United
States and the international community,” the
White House said in its statement. The president, it added, again warned of
“additional costs” to be imposed on Russia and urged Mr. Putin to take
“a clear path for resolving this crisis diplomatically.”
Secretary
of State John Kerry also expressed concern in a phone call on Sunday with his
Russian counterpart, Sergey V. Lavrov, about “continuing provocations” in
eastern cities, where American officials have accused the Kremlin and its
intelligence agents of fomenting unrest.
For his
part, according to the Kremlin, Mr. Putin called the referendum “fully
consistent with international law and the U.N. Charter” and cited what he
called the famous Kosovo precedent, referring to the province that amid
atrocities on Kosovar Albanians broke away from Serbia with Western help and
eventually declared independence. Mr. Putin repeated his claims that the
Russian-speaking population in Crimea was being terrorized by rampant
ultranationalist and radical groups and said that European monitors should be
allowed into all of Ukraine .
In a sign
of Mr. Putin’s extreme confidence, and the West’s relatively limited options to
confront him, the Russian president remained in the southern resort city of Sochi , where he watched
the final events of the Paralympics and planned to attend the closing ceremony.
Mr. Putin’s
spokesman, Dmitri S. Peskov, at the same time, brushed aside a warning from the
leaders of the Group of 7 world powers of unspecified consequences for Russia ’s violation of international law in
Crimea, saying it would have no effect on Russia ’s policies.
Despite the
uncertainties still surrounding Crimea, jubilant victory parties broke out long
before the polls closed here in Simferopol , the
capital, and in Sevastopol , where Russia has long maintained the headquarters of
its Black Sea fleet. In Simferopol ’s
Lenin Square
a crowd of thousands celebrated late into the night creating a sea of Russian
flags, pumping their fists in the air in victory and chanting “Russia ! Russia !”
As they
left the polls, after casting paper ballots, many voters were ebullient and
expressed no concern about the soldiers with automatic weapons deployed across
the peninsula.
“Our people
must be united in Russia,” Yelena Parkholenko, 27, a manicurist with violet
hair, said matter-of-factly after casting her vote at School No. 21 in
Simferopol.
“We were
not asked when Crimea was combined with Ukraine . Now they are asking us,”
said Svetlana Fedotova, a small-business owner, who arrived to vote at School
No. 21, with her daughter, Yekaterina, and 9-month-old granddaughter
Yelizaveta. “We’re Russian and we want to live in Russia .”
Citizens
with misgivings about joining Mr. Putin’s Russian
Federation , particularly Crimean Tatars, a Muslim Turkic
people with a history of persecution by Russia , generally opted to stay
home rather than participate in what they called a rigged vote.
At a
cultural center that served as a polling station in Bakhchysaray, the
historical home of Crimean Tatars, few if any Tatars were casting ballots.
Early on
Sunday, Enrique Ravello, an election observer visiting Simferopol
from Catalonia , Spain ,
and a supporter of the separatist movement there, praised the strong voter
turnout and said his region was envious of Crimea .
“Crimea in Catalonia is for us an
example, for what we would like to do,” Mr. Ravello said. “We don’t know if the
so-called Western democratic Spain
will permit us to be as free as you are today.”
Freedom,
however, was a matter of debate, especially given the Russian military
presence. The referendum also offered no option that would maintain Crimea ’s current status of limited autonomy from the
Ukrainian government.
In Kiev , the new government held an emergency cabinet meeting
to discuss the continuing military threat in eastern Ukraine . The acting prime minister,
Arseny P. Yatsenyuk, told ministers that the government would prosecute the
organizers of the referendum and others supporting Crimean separatism. Mr.
Yatsenyuk said the organizers were now “under the cover of Russian troops” but
the Ukrainian government would “bring them to justice in Ukrainian and
international courts.”
On
Saturday, the Ukrainian Parliament voted to dissolve the Crimean Parliament — a
step that was largely symbolic given that it was blithely ignored here in Simferopol .
Crimea was
effectively part of Russia
from the late 1700s until the dissolution of the Soviet
Union in 1991. Geographically, however, the peninsula is isolated
from Russia ,
and annexing it could prove logistically complicated and exceedingly costly at
a time when the Kremlin is bracing for an economic slowdown.
On
Saturday, Russian forces arrived by helicopter to seize control of a natural
gas terminal just outside the Crimean border, drawing renewed threats of military
retaliation by the government in Kiev, but also underscoring the enormous
challenges that lie ahead for Russia should it move forward with the
annexation.
Voters on
Sunday said that they were not deterred from charting their new course toward Russia , despite
fears that vital utility services, transportation arteries and business links
could be cut off. A bridge across the Strait
of Kerch , the smallest water body
separating Russia from Crimea , would take years to build.
In exit
interviews at the polls, many voters expressed joy at the prospect of leaving Ukraine and
absolute faith that Mr. Putin would make the transition smooth, issuing new
passports, paying pensions and providing other benefits.
For many
voters, religious affiliation was also a major factor in supporting secession
from Ukraine .
“I’m
Orthodox, and Orthodoxy began in Crimea ,” said
Yury Lyudmilov, 72, a poet and film director with flowing white hair who came
to vote under overcast skies in dark-tinted glasses. “Orthodox people must be
reunited.”
Referring
to Russia , Ukraine and Belarus ,
Mr. Lyudmilov added, “This is all Russia
— greater Russia , minor Russia and
white Russia.”
Sergei
Aksyonov, the pro-Russian prime minister of Crimea, has sought to reassure
residents that contingency plans are in place, and that it would not be in Ukraine ’s
interest to break current agreements on supplies of water, electricity, natural
gas and other essentials.
“There are
absolutely no grounds for switching the power off,” Mr. Aksyonov said at a news
conference last week. “The bills are being paid in full and in compliance with
the legislation of Ukraine .
Such outages are possible only if it’s done of nuisance to play a nasty trick
on Crimeans.”
Crimeans,
whose numbers include a majority of ethnic Russians, as well as ethnic
Ukrainians, Crimean Tatars and dozens of other ethnicities, have lived
peacefully over the nearly quarter-century of Ukrainian independence.
Sunday’s
vote, however, threatened to split society in numerous, and perhaps unexpected,
ways. In addition to Crimean Tatars, who make up about 12 percent of the
population and generally oppose becoming part of Russia ,
many young Crimeans, born after Ukrainian independence, have come out strongly
against the referendum, putting them in conflict with their parents and
grandparents, some of whom have fond memories of the Soviet
Union .
“The vote
is fiction,” said Kseniya Zaplantinskaya, 19, a philosophy student. “In my
family there are different opinions; my parents are for Russia .”
Anastasia
Sherbina, 21, a medical student, said she would vote for Crimea to remain part
of Ukraine ,
the only national identity she has ever known. “I was born here,” Ms. Sherbina
said. “I’ve lived here. I want to be a Ukrainian.”
In
Bakhchysaray, Nina Trofimovna, 68, offered the opposite view. “We’re returning
home to Russia ,”
she said. “It won’t be simple, but we’re ready for anything because we’re going
home.”
Reporting
was contributed by C.J. Chivers from Kharkiv , Ukraine ; Andrew E. Kramer from Kiev ,
Ukraine ; Noah Sneider from Bakhchysaray , Ukraine ;
Patrick Reevell from Sevastopol , Ukraine ; Peter Baker and Michael R. Gordon from Washington ; and Steven Lee Myers from Moscow .
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