Finance
minister to raise subject with eurozone counterparts on Monday in further sign Europe 's economic crisis is receding
Helena
Smith in Athens
The
Guardian, Sunday 4 May 2014 19.08 BST
In a step
likely to be hailed as further proof of Europe's receding economic crisis, Greece is
poised to formally open debt relief talks with its creditors.
The Greek
finance minister, Yannis Stournaras, will raise the once off-limits topic with
his eurozone counterparts in Brussels on Monday,
almost four years to the day after Athens
received its first slice of international aid.
Speaking
exclusively to the Guardian, Stournaras confirmed speculation that Greece would
propose measures to alleviate its monumental debt burden, which at 175% of GDP
is by far the highest in the EU, despite private-sector creditors having agreed
barely two years ago to massive losses on their holdings as part of a second
bailout for the country.
Economic
recovery is thought to be impossible without the burden being lowered to more
sustainable levels, and options could include extending repayments from 30
years to as much as 50, according to insiders.
"In
the context of presenting a new growth model for Greece in the next 10 years … I
will talk of the need to look at ways of reducing debt further,"
Stournaras said. "I will remind my colleagues of the decision that was
made in November 2012 to begin such talks if Greece gets a primary
surplus."
The
European commission recently said that Greece had achieved a primary
budget surplus – before interest payments on its debt – of €1.5bn (£1.2bn) in
2013.
"What
we need is to reduce our annual financial needs," said Stournaras,
referring to the €6bn in interest payments Greece must meet to service the
debt. "We don't want to inflict losses on our partners – we want a
mutually beneficial solution."
With
European governments now holding most of the debt, the prospect of a
restructuring that would hit the finances of member states directly has been ruled
out.
Even if the
country's debt burden is made more manageable, economic analysts argue that Athens 's economic woes
are far from over given the record levels of unemployment and poverty that have
followed the gruelling fiscal adjustment exacted as the price of aid.
Under a
rescue programme that has paid little attention to the real economy, many have
questioned the sustainability of the primary surplus, itself the focus of heated
debate in recent weeks.
Greeks
exports, the most telling indicator of competitiveness, have dropped
precipitously in the last year and the nation's economic output has shrunk by
more than a quarter since the start of the crisis.
"Even
if they agree to a debt reduction programme, the debt will continue to be
unsustainable if there is no growth in the real economy," said Elias
Kikilias, the director of research at the National Centre for Social Research.
"What
is important is not the level of debt per se but the level of debt in relation
to growth and economic prospects, and without meaningful reforms the real
economy will never be able to grow."
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