Friday, May 15, 2015

Greece offers privatisation concession as Germany stays tough

Thu May 14, 2015 6:04pm BST Related: BUSINESS, IMF
ATHENS | BY RENEE MALTEZOU AND LEFTERIS PAPADIMAS

Greece on Thursday offered a concession to its international lenders by pushing ahead with the sale of its biggest port, Piraeus.

Greece has asked three firms to submit bids for a majority stake in the port, a senior privatisation official told Reuters, unblocking a major sale of a public asset as the EU and the IMF demand economic reforms from Athens.

Despite the conciliatory move, Germany's Bundesbank showed no sign of easing off on its hardline stance towards Greece.

Why Syriza Will Blink


Project Syndicate

Anatole Kaletsky

MAY 14, 2015 6

LONDON – Once again, Greece seems to have slipped the financial noose. By drawing on its holdings in an International Monetary Fund reserve account, it was able to repay €750 million ($851 million) – ironically to the IMF itself – just as the payment was falling due.
This brinkmanship is no accident. Since coming to power in January, the Greek government, led by Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras’s Syriza party, has believed that the threat of default – and thus of a financial crisis that might break up the euro – provides negotiating leverage to offset Greece’s lack of economic and political power. Months later, Tsipras and his finance minister, Yanis Varoufakis, an academic expert in game theory, still seem committed to this view, despite the lack of any evidence to support it.

Opinion: Why stock investors shouldn’t worry if Greece exits eurozone

MARK HULBERT
Published: May 13, 2015 5:01 a.m. ET

Market Watch

CHAPEL HILL. N.C. (MarketWatch) — Investors are needlessly worrying about the prospect of Greece defaulting on its debt and withdrawing from the eurozone.

Consider: If a Greek exit from the euro a “Grexit,” as this possibility is being called — were really a cause for worry, then why aren’t the recent British elections causing a huge panic? After all, the Tory Party’s resounding victory, along with its anti-European Union stance, is leading some to speculate that the U.K. could leave the European Union as soon as next year — a so-called Brexit.

Euro Pares Gains, Stocks Rise

Germany’s DAX, which is stocked with exporters, jumped as the euro slipped from its high
By JOSIE COX
Updated May 14, 2015 1:18 p.m. ET

The Wall Street Journal

The euro pared gains against the dollar in late trade Thursday, sparking a stock rally led by Germany’s DAX index, which is packed with exporters.

The Stoxx Europe 600 ended the day 0.6% higher, led by a more than 1.8% gain on Germany’s DAX and a 1.4% gain on France’s CAC.

The euro weakened slightly after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said that the ECB’s vast stimulus efforts will remain in place “as long as needed” until officials are confident they will meet their inflation objective on a sustained basis. The ECB’s bond-buying program has sent the euro sharply lower since it was first announced in January.

The euro was trading around 0.2% higher at $1.138, but was down from $1.145 earlier in the day—its highest level since late February.

A stronger euro is generally seen as bad for companies in the eurozone that generate a big chunk of their revenue overseas. The dollar enjoyed a stellar start to the year but has reversed direction in recent weeks amid a number of disappointing U.S. data releases.

“There is no denying the performance of the U.S. economy is falling well short of expectations” and is pushing back bets for when the Federal Reservewill raise rates, which is weighing on the dollar, said Lee Hardman, an economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ.

BNP Paribas strategists also said the dollar weakness was likely to continue in the near term but added they broadly expect the buck to recover as the Fed gets closer to raising rates.

Eurozone bond markets were mostly stable Thursday after a selloff in recent weeks.

The yield on the German 10-year government bond, or Bund, edged slightly lower on the day to trade at about 0.70%, having risen from its all-time low of 0.05% in late April. Yields rise as bond prices fall.

“The bond rout isn’t going away for the summer and will weigh on all asset classes,” said Nick Lawson, a senior trader at Deutsche Bank.

Peter Chatwell, a rates strategist at Mizuho, said investors were unlikely to start buying bonds again in a big way until the current patch of volatility subsides. “They are on the sidelines waiting for the market to calm down,” he said.

In commodity markets, Brent crude was around 1% lower in late trade at $66.65 a barrel. Gold was up 0.3% at $1,222 a troy ounce.

Write to Josie Cox at josie.cox@wsj.com


Thursday, May 14, 2015

This may be a greater risk for Greece than default


CNBC

Dhara Ranasinghe

Greece's anti-austerity government may think it's being squeezed by its international lenders but that could be nothing compared to the pressure it faces from the country's voters, experts warn.
The left-wing Syriza-led government under Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras has said it would not rush into a referendum or snap election to secure public support for the unpalatable reforms it may need to introduce to secure more funds. But analysts say neither can be ruled out as Athens desperately tries to avert a bankruptcy.

Greece's Varoufakis says debt swap fills Draghi's 'soul with fear'

 May 14, 2015 10:10am EDT

ATHENS

Reuters

Repayment of what Greece owes to the European Central Bank should be pushed into the future, but it is not an option because it fills ECB chief Mario Draghi's "soul with fear", Greece's finance minister said on Thursday.

Yanis Varoufakis said Draghi, president of the European Central Bank, cannot risk irritating Germany with such a debt swap because of Berlin's objection to his bond-buying program.

Το καθήκον των δημοσιογράφων

ΠΟΛΙΤΙΚΗ 13.05.2015 : 12:46
ΠΑΣΧΟΣ ΜΑΝΔΡΑΒΕΛΗΣ
ΕΦ. ΚΑΘΗΜΕΡΙΝΗ
Και για να έχουμε το καλό ρώτημα στη φιλοκυβερνητική «Εφημερίδα των Συντακτών»: πότε ακριβώς έπρεπε να μάθουν οι Ελληνες ότι «φυγή καταθέσεων που κινήθηκε σε ομόλογα του εξωτερικού ή προς τα “στρώματα” ανέρχεται σε 30 με 35 δισ.»; Πριν χρεοκοπήσει η χώρα ή μετά; Δεν όφειλε να ενημερώσει η Τράπεζα της Ελλάδος έναν δημοσιογράφο, που έθεσε το ερώτημα, ότι «λείπουν 20 δισ. από τα χαρτονομίσματα που είναι σε κυκλοφορία»;

Eurozone Economy Improves, but Finland and Greece Stumble

By DAVID JOLLYMAY 13, 2015
The New York Times 
PARIS — The eurozone economy grew modestly in the first quarter, an official report showed on Wednesday, as a surprisingly strong showing in France helped to compensate for a slowdown in Germany.

The economies of Finland and Greece, however, contracted for a second straight quarter, meeting the technical definition of a recession.

Greece Is Back In Recession; This Does Not Bode Well For A Debt Deal

MAY 13, 2015 @ 1:05 PM

Forbes

Tim Worstall
CONTRIBUTOR


We’ve the GDP figures for the various eurozone countries out today and Greece is officially and definitively back in recession. This does not bode well for the ability of Greece and the troika to come to a debt deal as recessionary times mean that the Greeks will find it near impossible to run the primary budget surplus that any deal would be predicated upon. There is a contrary view which is that the Eurogroup will agree that a surplus isn’t possible in such circumstances but that’s almost certainly not the way to bet.

Greece plays down referendum option, economy stutters

ATHENS | BY ANGELIKI KOUTANTOU AND RENEE MALTEZOU
Wed May 13, 2015 1:23pm EDT Related: GREECE

Reuters
Greece's government on Wednesday ruled out rushing to a referendum to secure public support for unpopular reforms, opting instead to make a final push for a compromise with lenders by the end of the month.

Running out of both cash and options to pursue, Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras was to preside over his third cabinet meeting in four days later on Wednesday to seek a way out of an impasse in talks with lenders who refuse to dole out more aid.

Wednesday, May 13, 2015

Τα στοιχεία που έδωσε ο κ Στουρνάρας για τις πρώτες 100 ημέρες της νέας κυβέρνησης ΣΥΡΙΖΑ

Συγκεκριμένα στην επιστολή με ημερομηνία 6 Μαίου και ώρα 2.12μ.μ. που έφυγε από το Γραφείου τύπου του Γ. Στουρνάρα με παραλήπτη γνωστό δημοσιογράφο υπό τον τίτλο «ο λογαριασμός των 100 ημερών» αναφέρεται ότι:
-Η φυγή καταθέσεων που κινήθηκε σε ομόλογα του εξωτερικού ή προς τα στρώματα ανέρχεται σε 30 με 35 δισ.
-20 με 30 δισ. η πτώση αξιών προς εισηγμένες και μη
-10 δισ. τα ρέπος
-3 δισ. οι παγωμένες πιστώσεις του ΕΣΠΑ. Έπρεπε να έχουμε πάρει 4 δισ. και πήραμε μόλις 1.
-20 δισ. λείπουν από τα χαρτονομίσματα σε κυκλοφορία
-Δεν μπορεί να υπολογιστεί η απώλεια σε χρεόγραφα που έχουν ο ξένοι επενδυτές. Έχουν 70 δισ. στα χέρια τους.
-Απαξίωση των ακινήτων
-3 δισ. λιγότερα στην αγορά από τη μη εξόφληση των υποχρεώσεων του δημοσίου προς ιδιώτες
-Στη ζημιά πρέπει να προστεθεί η στάση πληρωμών των ιδιωτών προς τις τράπεζες που αύξησαν τα κόκκινα δάνεια. Οι τράπεζες απέκτησαν επιπλέον πρόβλημα και ίσως χρειαστούν επιπλέον ανακεφαλαιοποίηση

Greece Completes Latest IMF Loan Repayment

Country drew on its holdings of an International Monetary Fund reserve currency

The Wall Street Journal

By MARCUS WALKER and  STELIOS BOURAS
Updated May 12, 2015 2:13 p.m. ET
23 COMMENTS

ATHENSGreece drew on its holdings of an International Monetary Fund reserve currency to make a loan repayment of around €750 million ($837 million) to the IMF, an unusual move that buys the country a few more weeks to reach a deal with creditors on fresh financing.

Tuesday, May 12, 2015

Greece Dodges Economic Bullet With Progress Toward Deal


Bloomberg


by James G NeugerStephanie BodoniKarl Stagno Navarra
8:32 PM EEST
May 11, 2015


Greece handed the European Central Bank an excuse to maintain the life support for its financial system by persuading its skeptical German-led creditors it’s serious about delivering the policies needed to escape a default.
Less than three weeks after a Greek aid meeting broke up in taunts and acrimony, Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis assured euro-area governments that his country is aiming to strike a bargain to win the final installments of its 240 billion-euro ($268 billion) aid program.
“We are making faster progress,” Dutch Finance Minister Jeroen Dijsselbloem told reporters in Brussels on Monday after leading a meeting of euro ministers. “I’m not satisfied but just a bit more optimistic.”

Exclusive: Greece tapped its emergency IMF reserves to pay IMF debt - sources


ATHENS | BY LEFTERIS PAPADIMAS AND GEORGE GEORGIOPOULOS
Tue May 12, 2015 8:26am EDT Related: WORLD, IMF

reuters

Greece emptied an emergency IMF holding account to repay 750 million euros ($839 million) due to the international lender, a Greek central bank official said, avoiding default but underscoring the dire state of the country's finances.

With Athens close to running out of cash and a deal with its international creditors still elusive, there had been doubts about whether the leftist-led government would pay the IMF or opt to save cash to pay salaries and pensions later this month.

Greece Moves to Pay Debt, but European Finance Ministers Unsatisfied

By LIZ ALDERMAN and JAMES KANTERMAY 11, 2015

New York Times

BRUSSELS — The government of Greece, quickly running out of cash, moved on Monday to quell fears of an imminent default on its debts, authorizing its treasury to make a big loan payment to the International Monetary Fund.

While Athens once again managed to pull together enough cash to avoid a default, it is not clear how much longer Greece can continue to scrape by.

Asia stocks, euro falter as Greek crisis saps confidence

Tue May 12, 2015 1:24am EDT Related: GREECE
TOKYO | BY SHINICHI SAOSHIRO
Reuters

Asian stocks were mostly lower and the euro sagged on Tuesday as barely perctible progress on talks between debt-strapped Greece and its creditors kept investors edgy.

Spreadbetters expected jitters over Greece to continue weighing on Europe, forecasting a slightly lower open for Britain's FTSE, Germany's DAX and France's CAC.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down 0.2 percent. Decliners included shares in South Korea, Hong Kong, Malaysia and Thailand, while Chinese equities bucked the trend and rose modestly.

Monday, May 11, 2015

IMF Works With Greece’s Neighbors to Contain Default Risks

Discussions with authorities in southeastern Europe aimed at girding for potential failure of bailout talks
 The Wall Street Journal
By GABRIELE STEINHAUSER
May 10, 2015 6:04 p.m. ET
0 COMMENTS
BRUSSELS—The International Monetary Fund is working with national authorities in southeastern Europe on contingency plans for a Greek default, a senior fund official said—a rare public admission that regulators are preparing for the potential failure to agree on continued aid for Athens.

I.M.F. and Central Bank Loom Large Over Greece’s Debt Talks

By PETER EAVIS, JACK EWING and LANDON THOMAS Jr.MAY 10, 2015
The New York Times
Greek leaders have fought fiercely in recent months with politicians from other European countries over relief on Greece’s vast debt load.

Yet the power to decide the fate of Greece lies not just in the hands of these national governments, but also with unelected officials at two powerful institutions: the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund. Each is a creditor to Greece, and each is expecting the country to repay it billions of dollars of debt in the coming weeks.

Sunday, May 10, 2015

Merkel Pressed to Give Up on Greece as Germans Urge Strong Euro

Bloomberg 
by Brian ParkinRainer Buergin
4:05 PM EEST
May 10, 2015

German Chancellor Angela Merkel is coming under growing pressure from within the ranks of her own party bloc to give up on Greece for the sake of the euro.
Members of Merkel’s Christian Democratic bloc are openly challenging her stance of keeping Europe’s most-indebted country in the 19-nation currency region. Even some officials in the Finance Ministry are leaning toward the conclusion that the euro area would be better off without Greece, two people familiar with the matter said.

Making Sense of the Options for Greece

 10, 2015
Political Economy
By HUGO DIXON | REUTERS

Greece seems to lack a strategy for extricating itself from its parlous state.

Not only does the government, led by Alexis Tsipras, lack a credible plan for reaching agreement with its eurozone creditors and the International Monetary Fund, it doesn’t seem to have a thought-out fallback plan of how to default while containing the damage.

Greek financial markets have perked up in the past few weeks, largely because Yanis Varoufakis, the combative finance minister, has been sidelined from discussions with the creditors.