By LIZ
ALDERMAN and JAMES KANTERMAY 11, 2015
New York
Times
BRUSSELS —
The government of Greece, quickly running out of cash, moved on Monday to quell
fears of an imminent default on its debts, authorizing its treasury to make a
big loan payment to the International Monetary Fund.
While Athens once again managed to pull together enough cash to
avoid a default, it is not clear how much longer Greece can continue to scrape by.
Unless creditors
agree to more aid, Greece
will have trouble making a series of looming debt payments. The continuing
standoff over the aid — and the uncertainty it has created — has darkened the
outlook for the country’s economy, which risks another downturn.
Despite
word of payment, Greece
and its creditors on Monday remained at an impasse over a deal to free up fresh
financial aid for the embattled country. Before releasing the aid, Greece ’s
creditors have been demanding that the government make economic overhauls in
areas like pensions, labor rules and taxation.
Eurozone
finance ministers, who were joined by representatives of the I.M.F. and the
European Central Bank, indicated that Greece
had made some progress on a proposed list of economic overhauls since an
acrimonious meeting two weeks ago in Riga ,
Latvia .
But the
finance ministers, known as the Eurogroup, said that Athens would need to do more work before it
could hope to receive any further loan aid under the country’s current bailout
program.
“We acknowledged
that more time and effort are needed to bridge the gaps on the remaining open
issues,” the Eurogroup said in a statement. The group added that officials
would “decide on the possible disbursements” of money to Greece once an
agreement had been reached.
The
clocking is ticking for Greece .
The authorized
payment to the I.M.F., which is due on Tuesday, is 757 million euros, about
$848 million. By mid-July, Greece
must pay the I.M.F. nearly €3 billion more and roll over €11 billion of
short-term debt. From July through August, Athens must also pay the European Central
Bank about €6.7 billion on its Greek bond holdings.
Prime
Minister Alexis Tsipras has been scrambling to come up with ways to continue
meeting Greece ’s
obligations. Despite a deal on Feb. 20 to extend Greece ’s
€240 billion bailout program by four months, creditors will not release the
€7.2 billion aid tranche until Greece
submits sufficient reforms.
In recent
meetings with other lenders, I.M.F. officials have highlighted that Greece has been
backtracking on earlier pledges to make its labor market more flexible and
reduce the costs of its pension system, according to people with direct
knowledge of the matter who spoke on condition of anonymity. Without the
overhauls, the fund officials warned that Greece would find it more difficult
to pay off its debts in the longer term and make it more likely that creditors
would take losses.
The Greek
government has been pulling together money anywhere it can be found. Last
month, the government angered mayors across the nation by passing a decree obliging
state entities to hand over their spare cash. The move raised some money, but
it was unclear whether it was anywhere near enough to cover looming repayments.
Even if Greece does
survive the summer without defaulting, the budgetary strains and required cuts
add to the country’s staggering debt load, while doing little to revive its
economy or ease its towering unemployment rate in the short term. And many
economists are concluding that Greece
will need a new set of bailout loans to avoid a financial collapse.
Foreign
investments and business activity in the country have also started to decline
again, in the face of renewed uncertainty over whether Greece might default or
leave the eurozone altogether. Citing such uncertainty, the European Commission
this month sharply cut its 2015 growth estimate for Greece , to 0.5 percent. Last fall,
it forecast the economy would increase by 2.5 percent.
An
agreement between Athens
and its lenders would need to be reached by the beginning of June because
otherwise “it starts getting very, very, very tight,” a eurozone official said,
speaking on the condition of anonymity.
In a news
conference after Monday’s meeting, Yanis Varoufakis, Greece’s finance minister,
said Athens had made “great efforts and major concessions” to reach a deal.
While a
breakthrough had not been reached, he said, prospects were improving. “The
quest for an agreement that resolves the five- to six-year-old crisis of the
Greek social economy is continuing,” he said. “Agreement is getting closer, and
the institutions, our partners and representatives of the Greek government are
continuing to search for that solution in very good spirits.”
The
atmosphere was more cordial than that seen at a meeting between Greece and its creditors in Riga last month. There, Mr. Varoufakis was
rebuked by other eurozone ministers, weary of his confrontational negotiating
style. Mr. Varoufakis responded defiantly on his Twitter account the next day,
quoting President Franklin Delano Roosevelt: “They are unanimous in their hate
for me; and I welcome their hatred.”
Soon after,
Mr. Tsipras downgraded Mr. Varoufakis’s prominence in negotiations with
international lenders, putting other Greek officials in charge of the
day-to-day discussions.
Pierre
Moscovici, the European Union’s economic and monetary affairs commissioner,
said Monday that compared with the discussions held in Riga , “there has clearly been progress.”
Still, he said, Greece
had not gone far enough on “substantial points.”
The
European Commission vice president, Valdis Dombrovskis, was more blunt. “We
still don’t have a comprehensive reform plan,” he said. “It’s clear that time
is limited and we need to hurry up.”
Jeroen
Dijsselbloem, the finance minister at the head of the Eurogroup, tried to be
upbeat before Monday’s meeting, telling reporters that there would be “no
result on the table today.” Mr. Dijsselbloem said that “in political terms, the
deadline is the end of June” to reach a deal with Greece . “The Eurogroup stands ready
as soon as there is a positive outcome from that process” in order to “take
political decisions,” he said.
As the debt
crisis continues with no resolution in sight, Mr. Tsipras has faced growing
criticism of his government coalition. Last month, he said he might resort to
calling a public referendum on any deal with the country’s international
creditors if the package went beyond the no-austerity political mandate that brought
his leftist government into power.
On Monday,
Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble of Germany suggested that a referendum
might not be a bad idea.
“It’s in
the hands of the Greeks,” Mr. Schäuble told reporters. “If the Greek government
feels it should hold a referendum, then it should hold a referendum. That may
even be a right measure, to ask the Greek people to decide whether they are
ready to accept what is necessary, or whether they want the alternative.”
Peter Eavis
contributed reporting from New York and Niki
Kitsantonis from Athens .
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