Sunday, September 4, 2011

Greek Central Banker Seeks Faster Effort From Athens



The Wall Street Journal
By ALKMAN GRANITSAS
ATHENS—Greece's top central banker called on the government to speed up efforts to close the budget gap amid growing concerns elsewhere in Europe that Athens can't pull itself out of its debt spiral.
Bank of Greece Governor George Provopoulos said that the lack of fiscal and other reforms were deepening Greece's recession.

"The developments in the real economy are truly dismal," Mr. Provopoulos said in an interview in the Kathimerini newspaper. "In my assessment, the recession would be shallower if the reforms progressed quicker, if fiscal deficits were reduced more drastically and if competitiveness were improved."
Efforts in these critical areas must now be focussed with greater decisiveness, boldness and effectiveness, he said.
Many Greeks worry that more and accelerated austerity measures will only deepen the country's recession, making it even more difficult to cut budget deficits. Government officials believe the country's budget deficit will overshoot its 2011 target of 7.6% of gross domestic product.
Talks between Greece and a visiting "troika" of international inspectors were suspended last week amid a dispute over new government cutbacks and their impact on the country's recession. The troika is made up of representatives from the European Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund.
The talks, which are to resume Sept. 14, were set to win the troika's approval of the next installment from Greece's bailout agreement set up last year.
Senior Greek government officials said the troika is asking Greece to take an additional €1.7 billion ($2.42 billion) worth of new austerity measures this year.
The troika estimates that Greece's deficit will reach 8.8% of gross domestic product in 2011. The government blames a deeper-than-expected recession for its inability to meet budget targets, saying that the deficit will be around 8.2% this year, and that existing measures are enough to close the gap.
Greek officials also believe that the country's economic recession could stretch into a fourth year in 2012, extending the pinch on businesses and households that have made the series of spending cuts and taxes over the past year-and-a-half so unpopular.
Two public opinion polls published Sunday showed that the center-right New Democracy opposition party has widened its lead over Prime Minister George Papandreou's governing Socialist party.
According a poll in the Proto Thema newspaper, New Democracy leads the Socialists by 4.8 percentage points, while a second poll in newspaper Real News showed a 5.1 percentage-point margin in favor of the conservatives. In June, the opposition lead was between 1.4 and 4 percentage points.
Officially, the government will not call snap elections for a new mandate and will hold power at least until the end of its current term in 2013. But political analysts believe the government could be forced to bring elections forward if public pressure against promised overhauls grows. As it is, the stalled reform efforts in Greece is generating growing impatience with Athens in other euro-zone capitals.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel continues to express support for Greece and broader plans to build a bigger and better bailout facility for euro-zone governments running into financial trouble. But she faces growing frustration inside her own Christian Democratic Union party.
On Wednesday, the German constitutional court will rule on the legality of expanding the powers of the European Financial Stability Facility, the future key to supporting Greece and other financially frail countries.
The court is expected to approve the measures, but might attach conditions such as an increased parliamentary say in future rescues.
Its ruling also could influence German parliamentary debate on the government's support for widening the scope and lending capacity of the EFSF.
Write to Alkman Granitsas at alkman.granitsas@dowjones.com

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