Bloomberg
By Patrick Donahue and Stephanie Bodoni - Dec 19, 2011 10:58
AM GMT+0200
… it’s doubtful
they’ll put markets in a Christmas mood…
… an overall crisis
solution may be “technically and politically beyond reach.”…
… the U.K. hadn’t
agreed to increase its IMF contribution…
… requiring a
high-deficit state to amass a super majority within the euro region to head off
disciplinary procedures,…
Euro-area finance ministers will
hold a conference call at 3:30 p.m. Brussels time to discuss 200 billion euros
($261 billion) in additional funding through the International Monetary Fund
and the mechanics of a so-called fiscal compact that was negotiated at a Dec. 9
European Union summit, according to two people familiar with the planning.
“They’ll try to get as much done
as they can before Christmas, but it’s
doubtful they’ll put markets in a Christmas mood,” Carsten Brzeski, an
economist at ING Group in Brussels, said in an interview. “There is still so
much uncertainty.”
The accord to ratchet up budget rules failed to ease concern
that the monetary union risks buckling under the weight of the two-year-old
crisis. Fitch Ratings lowered France ’s
credit outlook and put other euro-area nations on review Dec. 16, saying an overall crisis solution may be
“technically and politically beyond reach.” Belgium ’s rating was cut two levels
to Aa3 by Moody’s Investors Service on the same day.
ECB Bond Purchases
European Central Bank President
Mario Draghi damped expectations the bank will step up bond purchases to tame
rising borrowing costs, telling the Financial Times in an interview published
today that the bank can’t overstep its mandate.
“People have to accept that we have to, and always will, act
in accordance with our mandate and within our legal foundations,” Draghi said
in the interview. “The important thing is to restore the trust of the people --
citizens as well as investors -- in our continent. We won’t achieve that by
destroying the credibility of the ECB.”
Euro-area officials aim to meet their deadline for today to
arrange the IMF loans. The package entails about 150 billion euros pledged by
euro-area central banks and another 50 billion euros to be contributed by
non-euro EU states. The euro-area ministers will be joined in the call by their
EU counterparts to thrash out measures including the decision-making process of
the bloc’s permanent bailout fund, the European Stability Mechanism, one of the
people said.
No ‘Urgent Need’
While leaders including Luxembourg ’s
Jean-Claude Juncker have expressed confidence that today’s deadline will be
met, Germany ’s
Bundesbank said Dec. 16 it saw no “urgent need” to reach a decision, suggesting
it could be delayed.
The euro lost 2.5 percent against the U.S. dollar last week
after the Brussels summit and extended the loss today, sliding 0.3 percent to
trade at $1.3011 at 9:04 a.m. Frankfurt time. The U.K.’s refusal to sign on to
an EU-wide treaty change locking in new debt rules exposed divisions within the
bloc and forced euro-region leaders to come up with a legal framework to patch
together budget rules.
“The systematic nature of the euro zone crisis is having a
profoundly adverse effect on economic and financial stability across the
region,” Fitch said in a note. The growing uncertainty is overshadowing
countries’ reform efforts, it said.
Fitch cited the ECB’s failure to act as a financial backstop
as contributing to its decision last week. Fitch placed Spain , Italy ,
Belgium , Slovenia , Ireland
and Cyprus
on a “Rating Watch Negative” review.
Stark’s Disappointment
Divisions within the ECB on bond buying were revealed by
departing ECB Executive Board Member Juergen Stark, who told the German
magazine WirtschaftsWoche in an interview that his decision to leave derived
from his disappointment over “how this monetary union has evolved.” He
criticized the bond purchases.
The U.K.
is weighing whether to commit more funds to the IMF. Prime Minister David
Cameron’s spokesman said Dec. 14 that the
U.K.
hadn’t agreed to increase its IMF contribution, fending off a report in the
Daily Telegraph newspaper that the nation’s contribution might rise by 30
billion pounds ($46.5 billion).
Today’s conference call may focus on setting a road map for
more detailed debate next month on a German-inspired budget- stability treaty.
Chancellor Angela Merkel demanded treaty-level barriers against runaway debt
and deficits to offer the prospect of a future “fiscal stability union” that
restores investors’ shattered confidence in Europe ’s
economic management.
The European Commission’s power to enforce deficit limits
will be strengthened, requiring a
high-deficit state to amass a super majority within the euro region to head off
disciplinary procedures, according to a draft of the text.
Governments will also be required to adopt balanced-budget
amendments with an “automatic correction mechanism.” Those provisions will be
enforced by the European Court of Justice and national courts.
The treaty, to be hammered out by late January and signed in
early March, will take effect once ratified by nine of the 17 euro-area
countries. EU states outside the euro will join as they ratify, with the U.K. alone so
far in refusing to sign up.
To contact the reporters on this story: Patrick Donahue in Berlin at pdonahue1@bloomberg.net; Stephanie Bodoni in Luxembourg at
sbodoni@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story: James
Hertling at jhertling@bloomberg.net
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