* Euler
Hermes says won't underwrite new Greek business
* Trade
insurers await outcome of June 17 Greek election
* Insurers
trim coverage for Italy , Spain -broker
By Myles
Neligan and Jonathan Gould
Reuters
FRANKFURT/LONDON,
May 30 (Reuters) - The world's biggest trade credit insurer, Euler Hermes, has
suspended cover for exporters shipping to Greece because of the mounting risk
they would not be paid if the debt-laden nation were forced out of the euro.
"Euler
Hermes has decided no longer to cover deliveries to Greece for the foreseeable
future," a Euler Hermes spokesman told Reuters on Wednesday.
Existing
contracts will be honoured, but Euler Hermes will not underwrite any new Greek
business, the spokesman said, adding that the insurer would reconsider "as
soon as the situation improves".
Coface, the
number three player in the trade credit insurance business, has also suspended
coverage for exporters shipping to Greece , the Financial Times
newspaper reported on Wednesday.
Coface was
not immediately contactable late on Wednesday.
A Greek
exit from the euro zone would force companies there to revert to the drachma,
which would likely fall sharply against the single currency to reflect Greece 's fiscal
crisis.
That would
restrict Greek importers' ability to pay euro-denominated invoices, potentially
inflicting big losses on European suppliers that would be recoverable from
their trade credit insurers.
Euler
Hermes had warned last week that it might restrict cover for Greece-bound
exports.
Trade
insurers have been reviewing their Greek exposure ahead of the country's June
17 general election, seen as a potential trigger for a euro exit if victory
goes to parties that oppose spending cuts agreed under a European bailout deal.
"It's
a watershed - everyone's watching what happens and trying to make contingency
plans," said Richard Talboys, head of political and trade credit risk at
insurance broker Willis.
"There
are smoke and flames coming out of Greece but we don't know if it can
be put out, or if the Greeks will pour oil on it by voting against
restructuring and austerity."
Reduced
availability of insurance cover for exports to Greece will likely make it harder
for manufacturers there to source imported components and materials, said
Vincent McCue, trade credit client team leader at insurance broker Marsh.
"The
trade credit insurers are saying if, as a result of the election, a government
comes to power that is committed to overturning the austerity package, even the
very best of companies in Greece
will no longer be able to pay their debts as they fall due," he said.
The
industry has also been gradually trimming its exposure to Spain and Italy , heavily indebted and mired
in recession, though not immediately at risk of quitting the euro, McCue added.
SOVEREIGN
SOLUTION
Trade
credit insurers were criticised during the 2008 crisis for abruptly withdrawing
cover, disrupting supply chains and forcing several European governments to
plug the gap with state-backed insurance schemes.
They have
since tried to build up better data on their customers' trade partners to gauge
the risk of non-payment more accurately and avoid the need for rapid adjustment
during economic or financial market crises.
German
exporters' association BGA said reduced availability of insurance for Greece from the
private sector was fuelling fresh demand for government-backed programmes.
"We
see a clear need for continued credit insurance cover for Greece, and that need
is not being sufficiently covered by private sector insurance for the time
being," said Gregor Wolf, BGA's head of foreign trade.
"In
extreme cases, like for example Greece ,
we are thankful that governments can quickly jump in."
Euler
Hermes, majority-owned by German insurer Allianz , insured transactions worth
702 billion euros ($880.03 billion) last year. The company's operating
assumption is that Greece
will stay in the eurozone, its spokesman said.
Most
European export transactions are uninsured. About 15 percent of British
exporters buy trade credit insurance, compared with about 25 percent in export-focused
Germany ,
according to informal estimates from industry sources.
No one at
Atradius, the second-biggest trade credit insurer, was immediately available
for comment. The company said last week it was still underwriting Greek
business on a "very selective" basis.
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