European
officials dismissed the Greek government’s latest proposals as ‘vague and
repetitive’
The Wall
Street Journal
By JOSIE
COX
Updated
June 15, 2015 7:34 p.m. ET
Global markets were rocked after talks between
The Stoxx
Europe 600 index fell 1.6%, led lower by a 4.7% slide by Greece ’s Athex
Composite index. In the U.S. ,
the S&P 500 dropped 0.5%.
The
declines came after European officials on Sunday dismissed the Greek
government’s latest proposals, describing them as “vague and repetitive.” Last
week, the International Monetary Fund pulled out of the Greek bailout talks, citing
a lack of progress, which had made markets jittery.
“We have
always argued that a Greek deal would only occur at one minute to midnight,”
Rabobank rates strategists wrote in a note. “Yet it now looks like 23:58 and
counting.”
Shares of
Greek banks led the losses on Monday. Alpha Bank AE fell 9%, Eurobank Ergasias
SA sank 6.9%, National Bank of Greece SA shed 5.7% and Piraeus Bank SA slid
12%. Their shares’ hefty drops mean they have now all declined between 30% and
62% since the start of the year.
Greek bonds
also tumbled, sending the yield on the country’s two-year debt up to 28.6%, 3.6
percentage points higher on the day, according to Tradeweb. The yield on the
country’s 10-year benchmark bond rose by almost one percentage point to 12.4%.
Yields rise as bond prices fall, and an inverted yield curve, where
shorter-dated bonds yield more than longer-dated ones, signals that investors
see a heightened chance of default.
Concerns
about Greece have hurt the
euro, although late in New York
it had edged up 0.2% on the day against the dollar to $1.1285. Several
strategists said the euro would likely remain under pressure until a resolution
is found.
“Creditors
are getting tired with the negotiations,” said Eirini Tsekeridou, an analyst at
Swiss private bank Julius Baer. Ian Williams, economist and strategist at
brokerage Peel Hunt, said that hopes for a compromise are diminishing, while
strategists at BNP Paribas wrote in a note that “the risk of unfavorable
scenarios, such as a default, has undoubtedly risen.” Attention this week will
be on Thursday’s Eurogroup meeting of eurozone finance ministers, ahead of a Brussels summit on June
25, and a Greek debt-repayment deadline on June 30.
Credit
Suisse economists said Thursday’s meeting would likely be “one of the last
chances to rubber stamp an agreement between Greece and its creditors.”
“With the
Greek government still living in its own world, hopes for a solution are
evaporating,” said Demetrios Efstathiou, a senior economist at Standard Bank.
He added, however, that he still thinks an agreement will be reached, but only
“at the very last minute” and “not a minute earlier.”
Back in
debt markets, the yield on the 10-year German government bond inched down to
0.82% on Monday. Yields on Spanish and Italian 10-year debt, which some
strategists say could be most affected by a Greek default, were higher at
around 2.37% and 2.32%, respectively.
“From a
market perspective, the concern is that if Greece was to default and/or exit,
then it might encourage others to do the same,” said Gary Jenkins, a credit
strategist at London-based asset manager LNG Capital. That, he said, “puts the
entire eurozone project at risk of collapse.”
Tanguy Le
Saout, head of European fixed income at Pioneer Investments, meanwhile, warned
that markets were still being too “complacent” about the potential “knock-on
effects of the problems in Greece .”
He said on Monday that he had positioned for a deterioration in the performance
of Spanish and Italian debt.
—Chiara
Albanese contributed to this article.
Write to
Josie Cox at josie.cox@wsj.com
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