By SUZANNE
DALEYJUNE 8, 2015
The New
York Times
To stay at
the bank carried the risk of being laid off, and with Greece ’s
unemployment rate above 25 percent, she doubted she would ever find another
job.
So she took
advantage of an early-retirement provision, joining tens of thousands of other
public servants who took economic refuge in Greece ’s underfunded pension
system. “It’s not what I wanted,” she said, “but I could see I was being
junked.”
Greece’s
big creditors — other eurozone countries, the International Monetary Fund and
the European Central Bank — have done little to solve the problem. Instead,
they have imposed deep cutbacks on pensions, as much as 48 percent in some
cases, and further weakened the pension funds by, among other measures,
pressing them to accept huge losses as part of the country’s debt write-down.
Now, even
as their austerity policies have driven more Greeks out of the work force and
into the pension system, the creditors are seeking deeper cuts still.
Ms. Meliou,
who started working at the bank at 18, has already seen her pension payments
cut by 35 percent. She says she sometimes cannot sleep for fear of what might
happen next.
As it
confronts its creditors over its huge debts and how best to recover from a
still-crippling downturn, Greece ’s
left-wing government faces few problems that are more substantively and
politically daunting than how to meet pension promises to retirees.
In the
latest round of negotiations, Greece ’s
creditors are demanding that Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras make further cuts in
pensions as a condition of continuing to help Greece pay its enormous debts.
Mr. Tsipras
and his radical-left Syriza party, elected on a promise that they would reject
continuing austerity demands by the creditors, are flatly refusing, saying that
additional cuts would lead to a humanitarian crisis and cast another blow to a
flailing economy, reducing consumer spending power at a time when it is
desperately needed.
The problem
is that much more difficult because Greece , like most European nations,
has an aging population, meaning it has relatively fewer young workers to help
pay the bills for the growing numbers of retirees. The imbalance is made even
worse by the chronic unemployment among young people since the financial crisis
started in 2008.
In 2012,
the pension funds, which were obliged under Greek law to own government bonds,
were hit by a huge debt write-down as those bonds plummeted in value. As a
result they lost about 10 billion euros, or $11.1 billion — roughly 60 percent
of their reserves.
At the same
time, the pension system was becoming an even bigger component of the social
safety net, absorbing thousands. People like Ms. Meliou retired early, either
because of the sale of state-owned companies, because they feared their
salaries would be cut and thus their pensions would be smaller, or simply
because their businesses failed. Few are living comfortably, and many support
unemployed children.
Recent
government figures indicate that nearly 45 percent of Greek retirees live at or
below the poverty line. About 60 percent get pensions of €700 a month or less.
Still,
pensions eat up a big portion of the government’s budget, equivalent to about
16 percent of the country’s shrunken gross domestic product, up from 13 percent
in 2009, making it proportionally the most expensive pension system in Europe .
Panagiota
Stathopoulou, 55, who retired recently after working 30 years in an
unemployment office, said that her pension was supposed to have paid out €900 a
month, but that it had been cut to €700. Still, she said, when she looks around
her, she feels guilty about having even that much.
At the
grocery store recently, she was approached by an old man who asked if she would
buy him some food. Like many other retirees, she scrimps so that she can also
help one of her children financially. Her daughter’s husband has a job, but he
often is not paid.
But this
enormous bureaucratic undertaking has created its own problems, particularly at
a time when the number of government employees was shrinking.
Reliable
data on the state of the Greek pension system does not seem to exist. Platon
Tinios, an economist and pension expert at Piraeus University ,
points out that despite a wave of early retirements, the latest official data
suggests that there are 2.65 million retirees today, fewer than the 2.7 million
in 2013.
“That just
defies explanation,” he said. “They don’t know what they are doing.”
One
explanation may be that there is a backlog of more than 400,000 pension
applications, some of which have been in the pipeline for three years,
government officials have said.
However bad
the problems are now, Mr. Tinios said, the situation is likely to get worse.
The limits on early retirement in 2010 did not include people who were already
vested, he said, meaning that the flow into the system will remain high for
years to come. Women who took early retirement, most of whom had lower-paying
jobs, will find themselves with small or shrinking incomes for the rest of
their lives, he added.
“The system
is a ticking time bomb,” he said.
After months
of negotiations between the Tsipras government and Greece ’s creditors, in which
pensions appeared to be a central sticking point, the two sides unveiled
dueling proposals last week on a range of issues that could hardly have been
further apart.
The creditors
want to establish substantial early-retirements penalties for those who still
choose the option, and to cut existing pensions even more — even the smallest
ones. The proposal also demands further unifying the funds and establishing a
closer link between contribution and benefits, most likely setting the stage
for yet more cuts.
Other moves
could also hit retirees hard. The creditors are calling, for instance, for a
sharp rise in taxes on basic consumer goods such as medicine to 11 percent from
6.5 percent, a step that would be felt especially hard by people on fixed
incomes. The tax on electricity would go to 23 percent from 13 percent.
In a
televised speech Friday night, Mr. Tsipras, the prime minister, called the
proposals from the creditors — which would maintain austerity policies that
have so far brought little good news to most Greeks — “irrational.”
In his own
47-page proposal, Mr. Tsipras offered to slowly eliminate the remaining
early-retirement programs.
Some
analysts say that the situation Greece ’s
pension system faces today was predictable. Jens Bastian, an economist and
former member of a team of European Union specialists that helped supervise the
country’s bailout, said it was sad to see how little creative thinking was
going on.
“Where are
the ideas?” he said. “Why weren’t the pension funds replenished? The banks were
compensated after the haircut, but the pensions were not.”
Mr. Bastian
pointed out that there may be more trouble ahead as retirees turn to the
courts. “It’s already happened in a couple of cases,” he said.
Inside a
government office in Athens
recently, dozens of people waited, some hoping only for an update on when their
pensions might come through. Lazaros Papadopoulos, 70, said that he had closed
his store and filed the required paperwork three years ago, and that he had
been trying to live on a “pre-pension” benefit of €420 a month.
“In this
day and age, you would expect that everything was online,” he said. “But no,
it’s all paper in there.”
Rania
Zygogianni, 51, who is divorced, was also there, holding a thick green file.
She was hoping to qualify for a reduced early pension of roughly €500 a month
as an older mother with young children, a category that has been eliminated for
new workers.
Ms.
Zygogianni, who trained as an economist, used to work in the Agriculture
Ministry, and she said that she would prefer to work. But she has been looking
for a job without success, and she has had to accept money from her mother and
her sister.
“It is
terrible out there for older women,” she said. “At least this would be
something.”
Dimitris
Bounias contributed reporting.
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