‘Combative’
negotiations resume after ‘some aspects of a financing deal’ agreed overnight
The Wall
Street Journal
By GABRIELE
STEINHAUSER in Brussels and NEKTARIA STAMOULI in Athens
Updated
June 4, 2015 6:51 a.m. ET
3 COMMENTS
“The next
hours, the next days…are absolutely essential,” said Pierre Moscovici, the
European Union’s economics commissioner. “I would say I’m optimistic.”
Mr. Tsipras
will submit a counter offer to his country’s creditors, including the rest of
the eurozone and the International Monetary Fund, two officials said. They
spoke after the Greek prime minister held late-night talks with European
Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker and Jeroen Dijsselbloem, the Dutch
finance minister who represents the currency union’s national governments in
the talks.
The Greek
leader is now scheduled to meet with Mr. Juncker again “in coming days,” Mr.
Juncker’s spokesman Margaritis Schinas said. “They agreed to meet again,
intense work will continue.”
Officials
warned that Greece
and its creditors still have issues to resolve before a deal is struck.
“Proposals
and counter proposals are part of the combative negotiations that are ongoing,”
one official said.
“Yesterday
we saw some convergence in a few points, but not on others. It will be
difficult,” the official added.
After the
meeting, which ended in the early hours of Thursday, Mr. Tsipras said that he
was content with new budget targets presented by the creditors, which are below
those in his country’s existing bailout deal. But he rejected proposals for
further cuts to pensions and increases to value-added tax, which creditors
insist will be central to meeting budget targets and bringing Greece ’s
finances onto a sustainable path.
One
European official said Mr. Tsipras didn’t give an outright “no” even on the
pension and VAT proposals during Wednesday’s talks. “It is an issue for
negotiations,” the official said.
A Greek
official said talks between both sides have to conclude by June 14 at the
latest. “This is the date the commission gave,” the official said.
European
officials said Thursday that lenders can sweeten the offer to Greece only
marginally. The IMF insists that less-ambitious targets for fiscal austerity
and pension overhauls would fail to curb Greece ’s
soaring debt, forcing European governments to restructure their loans to Athens —which Germany and others flatly reject.
One
official suggested that Athens
may be able to move some goods from the higher VAT rate to the lower one, but
that revenue shortfalls would then have to made up elsewhere.
“There
could be found, here and there, some equivalent measures,” said a second
official.
Losing the
IMF’s support for a deal would seriously call into question the credibility of
the Greek bailout in Germany ,
making it hard for German Chancellor Angela Merkel to justify further aid for Athens .
But the
terms for Greece that Germany and the IMF could agree on—tough
retrenchment without debt relief—are the opposite of what Greece ’s ruling
Syriza party was elected to deliver. Mr. Tsipras could face a revolt by Syriza’s
left wing hard-liners if he tries to impose the lenders’ terms, European
officials admit, saying they don’t know how Mr. Tsipras will respond in coming
days.
Messrs.
Juncker, Tsipras and Dijsselbloem will talk again in the coming days, but no
date has been set yet, official said Thursday.
The
creditors’ proposal calls for primary surpluses—the excess of revenue over
expenditure before interest payments are made—of 1% in 2015, 2% in 2016, 3% in
2017 and 3.5% in 2018, according to officials with knowledge of the proposal.
These rates
are lower than the targets of 3% in 2015 and 4.5% from 2016 onward that had
been foreseen in Greece ’s
existing bailout program, which has been extended until the end of June. Still,
they are higher than what Athens
was hoping to achieve and would force the government to make more spending cuts
amid a shrinking economy.
One key
target of additional cuts under the proposal is Greece ’s pension system, which Mr.
Tsipras and his allies had promised to shield from further measures. Under the
plan, Greece
would have to reduce pension spending as of July, delivering savings of 0.25%
to 0.5% of gross domestic product this year and 1% of GDP next year.
The
lenders’ proposal also calls for higher rates on value-added taxes than the ones
put forward by Athens
in negotiations. Greece ’s
VAT system, which currently has many different rates, would be simplified to
just two—11% and 23%—which would bring in higher revenue. Greece has been
pushing for a system of three rates, which European officials say falls short
of the extra €1.8 billion, or about 1% of GDP, that creditors have been asking
for.
—Viktoria
Dendrinou in Brussels and Marcus Walker in Berlin contributed to
this article.
Write to
Gabriele Steinhauser at gabriele.steinhauser@wsj.com and Nektaria Stamouli at
nektaria.stamouli@wsj.com
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