The Wall Street Journal
By COSTAS PARIS, MATINA STEVIS and RIVA FROYMOVICH
… a crucial chunk of Greece 's first bailout was withheld for several
weeks, partly because Greece 's
then-opposition leader, Antonis Samaras, refused to commit to the austerity
policies…
… EU ministers
indicated they had lost faith in Greece 's ability or will to
implement the overhauls…
The International Monetary Fund and wealthier euro-zone
countries want a low average interest rate on new bonds to be issued as part of
the restructuring, in order to ensure Athens
can pay its debts and avoid extra financing.
But after 24 hours of talks, EU finance ministers urged Greece
to implement tough austerity and structural overhauls and provide more written
assurances to its partners that it would meet its promises before a second
bailout can be implemented.
"We need clear commitments from all the political
forces in Greece
so that there is clear backing for the new program. That is a necessary
precondition for a new Greek program to succeed," said Olli Rehn, the
European commissioner in charge of economic affairs.
German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble said Greece must
commit to carrying out the pledges for overhauls the country has made, no
matter who wins elections expected to take place in April. Lucas Papademos was
appointed to lead an interim technocrat government late last year to secure new
bailout funding for the country.
The news came as John Chambers, head of Standard &
Poor's sovereign-ratings committee, said Greece is "in all
likelihood" headed for a default in the first half of 2012. Speaking at
Bloomberg's sovereign debt conference in New York
on Tuesday, Mr. Chambers said Greece
will suffer a default under the ratings firm's definition, whether it happens
in the form of a distressed exchange of debt or missed payment on certain
bonds.
In late 2011, a
crucial chunk of Greece 's
first bailout was withheld for several weeks, partly because Greece 's
then-opposition leader, Antonis Samaras, refused to commit to the austerity
policies. Eventually, Mr. Samaras did sign the letter and Greece received
the money.
Mr. Samaras's New Democracy party had no official comment,
but party officials privately say they support the new loan deal and will, if
pressed, again affirm their support in a written letter.
In Brussels , several EU ministers indicated they had lost faith
in Greece 's
ability or will to implement the overhauls.
Austrian Finance Minister Maria Fekter said she is "not
pleased" with progress. "We're sending a very direct message to Greece
that the community expects more, also in terms of structural reform."
Swedish Finance Minister Anders Borg said Greece had
"not delivered" on overhauls.
Greek Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos acknowledged
there have been slippages in the implementation of austerity measures.
The EU finance ministers on Tuesday also discussed European
Commission proposals for tighter economic governance, preparations for a
February meeting of finance officials from the Group of 20 industrialized and
developing nations and the implementation of new fiscal controls.
Finance ministers from the 17 countries that share the euro
on Monday agreed on the text of a treaty that will allow the setting up of the
European Stability Mechanism, the region's permanent bailout fund, in July.
Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti on Tuesday reaffirmed his
call for expanding the €500 billion ($650.8 billion) fund, and said resistance
from some European leaders, particularly in Germany , to increasing the size may
ease as countries agree on stricter fiscal discipline.
EU leaders are expected to discuss the so-called fiscal
compact at a summit next Monday. The compact seeks to impose tougher sanctions
for countries that fail to meet budget targets.
But Germany
and other EU countries raised concerns on Tuesday about a separate European
Commission proposal that seeks to give Brussels
new powers over the finances of member states. The proposal could see euro-zone
states having to report budget plans to the EU executive before approval by
their governments. If adopted, it would also empower the commission to
recommend a government seek financial assistance, with member states then
voting on that.
Some countries said the budget rules should apply only to
those running large deficits. Meanwhile, German officials raised concerns about
publicly recommending a member state take financial assistance, arguing such a
move could roil markets.
It was Greece 's
debt restructuring that was at the forefront. The restructuring is planned to
take the form of a bond exchange in which creditors holding some €200 billion
in debt swap their securities for new instruments with half the face value. The
key sticking point is how much interest the new bonds should pay.
The restructuring is part and parcel of the second bailout
program for Greece ,
amounting to €130 billion. Without this loan, Greece will default on a €14.4
billion bond maturing on March 20.
The country's private-sector creditors, the majority of
which are represented by the Institute
of International Finance ,
said they won't accept an average interest rate of less than 4%.
The IMF voiced concerns Monday that the deal being discussed
by Greece
and the creditors would leave the country with a higher-than-expected debt
burden in the years ahead. Jean-Claude Juncker, head of the Euro Group of
finance ministers from the currency area, said Monday that interest rates on
the new bonds should be less than 3.5% to lower Greece 's debt to 120% of gross
domestic product by 2020.
The IMF and some euro-zone countries are reluctant to permit
high interest rates, in part because they would have to lend Greece the
money to pay them.
"Greece
only nominally has the control of the process.…The negotiation is conducted by Greece with the
negotiating team," Mr. Venizelos said. He had earlier said that, "The
Euro Group decided to give us the green light, to us and the troika and the
negotiating team in which the troika, the [European Financial Stability
Facility] and some governments like Germany and France participate in to complete
in the next few days the talks with the private sector."
The so-called troika is comprised of the IMF, the European
Commission and the European Central Bank.
The Greek Finance Ministry said it expects to present a
formal offer to creditors by Feb. 13. But European officials had hoped a deal
with creditors could be reached by the end of this month.
"It is obvious that the Greek program is off
track," said Mr. Juncker. Euro-zone governments asked the Greek government
to reach a common understanding on the terms and conditions of the
restructuring offer in the next few days, he said.
Mr. Rehn said he expected the talks to last one or two more
weeks while Mr. Schäuble said a new report from inspectors representing Greece 's troika
of lenders should be ready in early February.
At the meeting Tuesday, EU finance ministers also cleared
the last hurdles and agreed on a proposal to standardize most over-the-counter
derivatives contracts. The compromise, which comes after several months of
arguing over technical details, opens the way for talks with the European
Parliament before agreement on a final text.
— Frances Robinson, Bernd Radowitz, Giada Zampano, Flemming
Emil Hansen, Laurence Norman, Ainsley Thomson and Matthew Dalton contributed to
this article.
Write to Costas Paris at costas.paris@dowjones.com and Riva
Froymovich at riva.froymovich@dowjones.com
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