(Reuters) -
Europe has a new informal leadership
directorate intent on finding a solution to the euro zone's debt crisis, but it
has yet to prove its ability to come up with a lasting formula.
Forged in
the fire of a bond market inferno, the shadowy so-called Frankfurt Group has
grabbed the helm of the 17-nation currency area in a few short weeks.
The inner
circle comprises the leaders of Germany and France, the presidents of the
executive European Commission and of the European Council of EU leaders, the
heads of the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund, the
chairman of euro zone finance ministers, and the European Commissioner for
economic and financial affairs.
Europe's
new politburo met four times on the sidelines of last week's Group of 20 summit
in Cannes , issuing an ultimatum to Greece that it would not get a cent more aid
until it met its European commitments, and arm-twisting Italy to carry
out long delayed economic reforms and let the IMF monitor them.
In a
tell-tale recognition of the new ad hoc power center, members wore lapel badges
marked "Groupe de Francfort."
U.S.
President Barack Obama attended one of the meetings, getting what he joked was
a "crash course" in the complexity of Europe 's
laborious decision-making processes and institutions.
"He
proved to be a quick learner," one participant said.
Two people
familiar with the discussion said he argued for the euro zone to make its
financial backstop more credible by harnessing the resources of the ECB, but
German Chancellor Angela Merkel and ECB President Mario Draghi resisted.
Obama also
supported a proposal to pool euro zone countries' rights to borrow from the IMF
to help bolster a firewall against contagion from the Greek debt crisis, but
Germany's central bank opposed this too, the sources said.
The
president referred obliquely to the debate at a news conference the next day,
saying: "European leaders understand that ultimately what the markets are
looking for is a strong signal from Europe
that they're standing behind the euro."
Hours
earlier, a television camera in the Cannes
summit conference room caught Obama and British Prime Minister David Cameron
discussing the issue while waiting for the start of the final working session.
Cameron,
whose country is not in the euro, has called publicly for the ECB to act as the
lender of last resort for the euro zone, as the Federal Reserve does for the United States , and the Bank of England for Britain .
When Merkel
entered the room, Obama pulled her aside for a private conversation. An open
microphone caught his opening words: "I guess you guys have to be creative
here."
ON THE HOOF
The
Frankfurt Group came about on the hoof to try to fashion a crisis response in
something closer to the short timespan of frantic financial markets.
It seems
destined to endure, not least because the growing imbalance between a stronger Germany and a weaker France means other players are
needed to broker decisions.
Crucially,
it aims to bridge the ideological gulf between northern and southern Europe,
and between supporters of the orthodox German focus on fiscal discipline and an
independent central bank with the sole task of fighting inflation, and
advocates of a more integrated and expansive economic and monetary union.
The
presence of IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde gives the group greater
credibility in the markets, as well as providing a reality check on what
international lenders expect and the limits to their willingness to support the
euro zone.
It all
began with a blazing row at the Old Opera House in Frankfurt
on October 19 that spoiled Jean-Claude Trichet's farewell party after eight
years as president of the ECB.
As the
fallout from Greece 's
debt crisis singed European banks and panicky investors dumped euro zone
government bonds, French President Nicolas Sarkozy, who had snubbed the
ceremony in honor of Trichet, flew in at the last minute to meet a visibly
irritated Merkel.
Sarkozy
himself said that day that France
and Germany
were at odds over how to leverage the euro zone's financial rescue fund. The
French wanted to let the European Financial Stability Facility operate as a
bank and borrow money from the ECB.
"In Germany , the
coalition is divided on this issue. It is not just Angela Merkel whom we need
to convince," Sarkozy told lawmakers, according to Charles de Courson, who
was present.
At the Frankfurt meeting, described by one participant as
"explosive," Merkel and Trichet firmly opposed the idea, which they said
would violate the European Union's treaty prohibition on the central bank
financing governments.
As French
officials tell it, Merkel is not so hostile to the proposal as her finance
minister, Wolfgang Schaeuble, and the head of the German Bundesbank, Jens
Weidmann.
The French
are convinced that Merkel understands the ECB will have to be more centrally
involved in fighting bond market contagion, but she cannot get it through her
divided coalition for now. They see the ECB as the main center of resistance.
After
hearing a chorus of Obama, Cameron and the leaders of India , Canada
and Australia
at the G20, Merkel acknowledged that the rest of the world found it hard to
understand that the ECB was not allowed to play the role of lender of last
resort.
But the
crisis may have to get still worse before the Germans and the ECB relent, if
they ever do.
LEGITIMACY
VS EFFICACY
The
Frankfurt Group has already had an impact in euro zone crisis management but
like all informal core groups it has begun to stir resentment among those who
are excluded, and it has yet to prove its ability to craft a convincing
longer-term solution.
North
European creditor countries such as the Netherlands, Slovakia and Finland,
where public hostility to further euro zone bailouts is fierce, are already grumbling
about decisions being taken behind their backs.
In Greece and Italy , there has been strong
criticism of the perceived arrogance of "Merkozy," as the
Franco-German duumvirate are increasingly nicknamed, in summoning their prime
ministers to receive ultimatums.
German and
French officials shrug off such complaints as inevitable, noting that EU
partners are even more unhappy when France
and Germany do not agree,
since that paralyses Europe .
"There
is always a trade-off between legitimacy and efficacy," said an EU
official involved in the Frankfurt Group. "The euro area institutions were
not designed for crisis management so we need innovative solutions.
"In an
emergency like this, we have to have a structure that works," he said,
adding that the presence of the European Commission and of European Council
President Herman Van Rompuy guaranteed that the interests of smaller member
states would be taken into account.
EU
officials had held conference calls with the 15 other euro zone states during
the Cannes
summit "to keep them in the loop." The head of the EFSF, Klaus
Regling, was secretly flown to Cannes
to brief the leaders on the state of accelerated preparations to leverage the
rescue fund, one source said.
Merkel long
resisted French pressure to create more of an "economic government"
in the euro zone, not least because she did not want Germany to be in a
minority on issues such as bailouts, free trade or the EU budget.
She also
did not want to alienate German allies and neighbors such as Denmark , Poland
and the Czech Republic , which are not in the euro
zone.
But recent
problems in smaller countries that aggravated market turmoil -- Finland 's demand for collateral on loans to Greece and Slovakia 's parliamentary wrangling
over increasing the EFSF's powers -- convinced her of the need for stronger
leadership to impose order.
Whether the
Frankfurt Group will be the forum that finally convinces Germany to
accept a bigger crisis-fighting role for the ECB, or the creation of jointly
issued euro zone bonds, remains to be seen.
(Writing by
Paul Taylor; editing by Janet McBride)
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